User blog:Bobnekaro/Possible tropical development in the Bay of Campeche next week

So the NHC has drawn the yellow crayon in the Bay of Campeche. An area of low pressure is expected to form east of the Yucatan, which could cross into the Bay of Campeche where tropical cyclogenesis could occur. The NHC currently gives this system a 20% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days. The intensity of this system, if it forms at all, will be determined by how far north/south it tracks.