Subtropical Storm Bonnie (2016-GFS)

'''The GFS model is forecasting a 1000 mbar well-organized low to develop near the Canary Islands on February 14th...Valentine's Day. What if this storm actually existed? This is what it would be like...Subtropical Storm Bonnie''' was a rare, short-lived, February subtropical cyclone in the eastern Atlantic. Known as the "Valentine's Day Storm", it peaked in intensity on February 14th. It is the earliest second named storm on record in the Atlantic. Forming from a low that developed in the Atlantic on February 8, Bonnie peaked with winds of 60 mph and formed a small eye.

Meteorological History
On February 8, the NHC began monitoring a large extratropical cyclone developing off the coast of North Carolina. The NHC noted the possibility of it gaining tropical characteristics, giving it a 0% chance of development within 48 hours and a 20% chance of development in 5 days. Moving northeastward on a similar path to Hurricane Alex, the low eventually reached an area near the Canary Islands that was favorable for subtropical cyclogenesis.

On February 12, the NHC upped their development chances to 70% due to an eye forming and that the low was losing its frontal features, subsequently being designated Invest 91L. At 10:00AM on February 13, the NHC began issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Bonnie, becoming the second named storm of the season. Bonnie would acquire peak winds of 60 mph on February 14, with little change in intensity over its path. On February 15, Bonnie weakened to a remnant low due to drier air. Bonnie then dissipated completely the next day.