Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki:Chat/Logs/18 May 2017

 [2017-05-18 09:05:49] -!- Playten Bot has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 09:38:18] -!- Hurricane Layten has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 09:38:21] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; k [2017-05-18 09:38:23] -!- Hurricane Layten has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 09:38:28] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; !seenon [2017-05-18 09:38:28] &lt;Playten_Bot&gt; Hurricane Layten: I have enabled !seen [2017-05-18 09:38:31] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; !tellon [2017-05-18 09:38:31] &lt;Playten_Bot&gt; Hurricane Layten: I have enabled !tell [2017-05-18 10:59:30] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:00:11] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:04:52] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:05:33] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:08:05] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:08:35] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:08:38] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:09:08] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:09:21] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:09:51] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:10:23] -!- Jdcomix has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:10:44] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; [img="www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1200.gif?1495105834420"] [2017-05-18 11:10:49] -!- Jdcomix has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:10:55] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; @Layten [2017-05-18 11:10:58] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; hi [2017-05-18 11:10:59] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; :P [2017-05-18 11:11:04] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; And yes :/ [2017-05-18 11:11:19] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; 4th high risk day this year!! [2017-05-18 11:11:22] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; the SPC has described the setup as "impressive" [2017-05-18 11:11:23] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; :/ [2017-05-18 11:11:46] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; theres 70kt shear in the lower levels :/ [2017-05-18 11:12:00] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:12:01] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; I'm expecting at least 1 EF5 today [2017-05-18 11:12:03] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; yeah, today's setup is something else [2017-05-18 11:12:11] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; what? [2017-05-18 11:12:12] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; IDK Layten, we'll have to see about that [2017-05-18 11:12:24] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; EF5s can pop up at any time [2017-05-18 11:12:29] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; true [2017-05-18 11:12:30] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:12:38] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; what do you mean, the setups something else? [2017-05-18 11:13:02] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; Yeah, the shear, instability, lift and moisture are all of the charts today [2017-05-18 11:13:13] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; wow :/ [2017-05-18 11:13:16] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:13:29] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; I think they did the right thing in issuing a high risk [2017-05-18 11:13:46] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; (this is also the most high risks in one year since 2011) [2017-05-18 11:13:46] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:13:57] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; wow [2017-05-18 11:14:10] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; and yes, the High was definitely needed today :/ [2017-05-18 11:14:35] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; we'll have to see if it busts or not, though [2017-05-18 11:14:42] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; The last two highs have busted [2017-05-18 11:14:44] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; this could be the first genuine high risk under the new system :/ [2017-05-18 11:14:48] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:15:02] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; January 22nd had strong tornadoes [2017-05-18 11:15:11] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; oh yeah [2017-05-18 11:15:15] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; [img="soundings.pivotalweather.com/sounding_images/nam4km_2017051806_018_37.63--97.37.png"] [2017-05-18 11:15:17] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; 2nd genuine high then [2017-05-18 11:15:26] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; what model sounding is that? [2017-05-18 11:15:32] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; GFS or NAM? [2017-05-18 11:15:33] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; NAM near Wichita [2017-05-18 11:15:35] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; ah [2017-05-18 11:15:40] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; ill pull it up now [2017-05-18 11:15:45] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:15:50] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; what time? [2017-05-18 11:15:53] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; 00Z [2017-05-18 11:16:33] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; Yesterday busted lol [2017-05-18 11:16:40] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; yep :p [2017-05-18 11:16:56] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; Storms clustered too quickly [2017-05-18 11:17:51] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; wow [2017-05-18 11:18:01] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; NAM has 78 kt shear at 00Z :/ [2017-05-18 11:18:03] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:18:10] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; 90mph shear :/ [2017-05-18 11:18:14] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; wow [2017-05-18 11:18:32] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Wichita could be in trouble... [2017-05-18 11:18:42] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; Not sure about Wichita yet [2017-05-18 11:18:49] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; More concerned about Dodge City and Greensburg [2017-05-18 11:19:03] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:19:30] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:19:40] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; oh no [2017-05-18 11:19:49] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Greensburg is in High? [2017-05-18 11:19:53] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; Greensburg is prepared now though [2017-05-18 11:19:54] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; yes [2017-05-18 11:20:01] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:20:10] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Greensburg can withstand an EF3 tornado now :) [2017-05-18 11:20:40] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; Also concerned about areas near Woodward, OK [2017-05-18 11:20:50] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; NAM has severe weather erupting around 18Z [2017-05-18 11:20:54] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; yeah [2017-05-18 11:20:54] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; yes... [2017-05-18 11:21:16] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Woodward is pretty much in the middle of the risk [2017-05-18 11:21:19] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; :/ [2017-05-18 11:21:36] -!- Jdcomix has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:22:11] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; :3 [2017-05-18 11:29:42] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:30:22] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:30:50] -!- Jdcomix has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:31:02] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; If this setup continues, yeah [2017-05-18 11:31:06] &lt;Jdcomix&gt; gtg [2017-05-18 11:36:53] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:36:55] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:37:45] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:40:48] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:41:37] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:42:01] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:42:47] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:43:01] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:43:30] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:45:18] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:45:26] -!- Money Hurricane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 11:46:51] -!- Money Hurricane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 12:02:55] -!- MarioProtIV has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 12:03:09] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; high risk in central plans :/ [2017-05-18 12:03:16] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; plains [2017-05-18 12:04:11] -!- MarioProtIV has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 12:06:30] -!- MarioProtIV has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 12:08:53] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; yep [2017-05-18 12:09:06] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; and the SPC described the setup as impressive :/ [2017-05-18 12:09:25] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; and even mentioned that "high end, long track" tornadoes are possible :/ [2017-05-18 12:09:27] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Mario [2017-05-18 12:09:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; are you still here [2017-05-18 12:09:50] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; luigi pls :3 [2017-05-18 12:09:58] -!- MarioProtIV has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 12:10:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; yes [2017-05-18 12:10:45] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; the SPC described it as impressive [2017-05-18 12:11:56] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; [img="upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/33/2017-05-18_1200_UTC_tornado_chance_outlook.gif/800px-2017-05-18_1200_UTC_tornado_chance_outlook.gif"] [2017-05-18 12:11:57] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; :/ [2017-05-18 12:12:01] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; yup [2017-05-18 12:12:15] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; ~25-35% of an EF4 [2017-05-18 12:12:23] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; 5% EF5 [2017-05-18 12:12:28] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; uh oh [2017-05-18 12:12:29] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; :/ [2017-05-18 12:12:31] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; imo [2017-05-18 12:12:43] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; I'm expecting an EF5 today tbh [2017-05-18 12:12:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; in KS [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; "This wind profile will support discrete supercell formation. Backed [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;   surface winds to the southeast, strong speed shear in the boundary [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;    layer and a strengthening 40 to 50 kt low-level jet will be very [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;    favorable for tornadoes. Low-level shear is forecast to increase [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;    during the early evening with 0-3 km storm-relative helicities [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;    reaching the 350 to 450 m2/s2 range across the moderate and high [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;    risk areas. This will be favorable for strong tornadoes with several [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;    long track tornadoes moving across the high risk and moderate risk [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;   areas. [b] High-end tornadoes will also be possible across the high risk [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;   area. [/b] Forecast soundings also show very steep 700 to 500 mb lapse [2017-05-18 12:14:03] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt;   rates of 8.0 C/km. [2017-05-18 12:14:08] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; "* [2017-05-18 12:14:15] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; inb4 bust [2017-05-18 12:14:16] &lt;MarioProtIV&gt; :3 [2017-05-18 12:14:52] -!- Playten Bot has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; This wind profile will support discrete supercell formation. Backed [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    surface winds to the southeast, strong speed shear in the boundary [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    layer and a strengthening 40 to 50 kt low-level jet will be very [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    favorable for tornadoes. Low-level shear is forecast to increase [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    during the early evening with 0-3 km storm-relative helicities [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    reaching the 350 to 450 m2/s2 range across the moderate and high [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    risk areas. This will be favorable for strong tornadoes with several [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   long track tornadoes moving across the high risk and moderate risk [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   areas. High-end tornadoes will also be possible across the high risk [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   area. Forecast soundings also show very steep 700 to 500 mb lapse [2017-05-18 12:15:34] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   rates of 8.0 C/km. [2017-05-18 12:15:39] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; !tellon [2017-05-18 12:15:39] &lt;Playten_Bot&gt; Hurricane Layten: I have enabled !tell [2017-05-18 12:15:42] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; !seenon [2017-05-18 12:15:42] &lt;Playten_Bot&gt; Hurricane Layten: I have enabled !seen [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OUTSIDE OF THE [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   HIGH RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS... [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OUTSIDE OF THE [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   MODERATE RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   PLAINS... [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OUTSIDE OF THE [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ENHANCED RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   INTO LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY... [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION... [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;    THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID [2017-05-18 12:17:47] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt;   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHEASTERN STATES... [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Categorical Day1 1200Z Outlook [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; Day 1 Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; HIGH	24,613	927,395	Wichita, KS...Enid, OK...Hutchinson, KS...Dodge City, KS...Derby, KS... [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; MODERATE	29,364	624,445	Salina, KS...Stillwater, OK...Emporia, KS...Ponca City, OK...Yukon, OK... [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; ENHANCED	41,322	4,259,372	Oklahoma City, OK...Kansas City, MO...Tulsa, OK...Overland Park, KS...Kansas City, KS... [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; SLIGHT	217,200	21,307,367	Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Cleveland, OH...Arlington, TX...Toledo, OH... [2017-05-18 12:18:36] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; MARGINAL	239,563	32,783,984	San Antonio, TX...Detroit, MI...Indianapolis, IN...Columbus, OH...Austin, TX... [2017-05-18 12:34:06] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; !tell MarioProtIV I might plan out an article for Wikipedia if conditions allow it [2017-05-18 12:34:06] &lt;Playten_Bot&gt; Hurricane Layten: I'll tell MarioProtIV that the next time I see them. [2017-05-18 12:34:09] &lt;Hurricane_Layten&gt; k [2017-05-18 13:23:29] -!- Hypercane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 13:23:38] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :3 [2017-05-18 13:28:23] -!- Hypercane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 13:33:49] &lt;Hypercane&gt; kden Palteb. [2017-05-18 13:33:56] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Where are you when I need you. [2017-05-18 13:33:57] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :3 [2017-05-18 13:48:17] -!- Hypercane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 13:58:56] -!- Hypercane has joined Special:Chat [2017-05-18 13:59:26] -!- Hypercane has left Special:Chat [2017-05-18 13:59:44] -!- Hypercane has joined Special:Chat