What if Matthew didn't land in Haiti?

This is a scenario where it is shown what could have happened if Hurricane Matthew from 2016 did not land in Haiti/Dominican Republic and went all the way into the Gulf of Mexico. What could it's pressure be, it's intensity, and appearance? Watch here.

What would happen at first
Using the fact that we are gonna land into the Gulf of Mexico (without landfalls), we will want to assume it turned into the Yucatan as it was 160 mph. Beacuse of a increase in shear, the storm would decrease it's intensity to 140 mph, a low-end C4. However, warmer SST's and a decrease in shear would suddenly intensify the storm to a 175 mph C5 (a medium end C5.) almost touching the Yucatan Peninsula.

The peak of the storm
As it approaches the peninsula, a increase in SST's provokes an increase in intensity, yet again. 908mh (mb/hpa) and 185 mph, this storm is ready to cause some damage.

As it crosses into the Gulf of Mexico, we can go to Matthew's normal position at the Bahamas. Now, the storm is up to 195 mph and a pressure of 895 mb, the strongest storm recorded in the Atlantic.

And, at last
The storm would weaken beacuse of extratropical forces and shear to a 160 mph low end C5. It would slam into Florida (not landfalling) and continuing Matthew's history.

Authors
NunoLava1998.

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