User blog comment:Hurricane Layten/All hell about to break loose in the Atlantic?/@comment-26971007-20160621143314

I think Earl is likely to form in the Caribbean/Gulf in late June/early July due to the MJO coming. I think the entire gulf coast should stay on alert. It definitely would have a chance at being a hurricane if shear relaxes. The wave off Africa is not expected to develop now, but is expected to be the wave that spawns Earl down the road.