User blog:Hurricane Layten/Another Category 5 on the way near Fiji and New Calidonia - how many more?!!...

JTWC advisory
SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.2S 169.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.8S 169.9E, APPROXIMATELY 740 NM      NORTHWEST OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY BROAD, ALBEIT PERSISTENT, CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO AN      ILL-DEFINED BUT CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY A      POINT SOURCE PROVIDING EXCELLENT OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE AREA ARE HIGHLY FAVORABLE AT 30 CELSIUS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN      GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPING BEYOND TAU 36. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB.      THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.// NNNN