User blog:Hurricane Layten/Eyes on the Tropics: July 6, 2017

And here we have it, July 6, and there's a tropical cyclone stalking the open Atlantic, along with several ares of disturbed weather.

Tropical Depression Four formed at 0300 UTC this morning, and has changed very little in intensity since that time, still at 30 mph. The tropical depression is moving towards the west-northwest at 21 mph, and is expected to weaken to a remnant low, or open up into a tropical wave, within the next 2 days, and the depression will remain no threat to land until dissipation.

Invest 95E, which developed several days ago associated with the passage of a tropical wave over central America continues to produce ever more organised showers and thunderstorms within 180 nautical miles of a broad low level swirl. The disturbance has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours as it moves west in the open Pacific, well away from any land areas. The disturbance could become a brief tropical depression before entering the unfavourable, anomalously cooler waters in the eastern central Pacific.

Meanwhile, the remains of Invest 94E have dissipated over the last 12 hours, and are now no longer a concern for tropical cyclone formation, with the aformentioned cool, dry air and colder than normal sea surface temperatures choking the life out of the system.

Now, onto Invest 91W, which is also losing its organisation as it is sheared and being absorbed into a frontal system associated with the remains of Severe Tropical Storm Nanmadol. This system has been monitored by the JMA as a tropical depression, but they will be issuing their last advisory on the system soon as the system gets torn apart.

A new investigational area, 92W, also developed this morning as well, which is being sheared at the present time, and so isn't expected to be a tropical cyclone. 92W however, could become a tropical cyclone as it drifts towards the west, and the Philippines, maybe developing if it gets into the East China Sea.

Anyway, I'll have more here tomorrow, if conditions warrant.