Roy Meteorological Agency/Forecasts and Advisories

Tropical Weather Outlook
RMA issuing advisory on Hurricane Fulton and Hurricane Gertrude

0323 UTC Thu Aug 01 2018

Tropical Weather Outlook Roy Meteorological Agency 0323 UTC Thu Aug 01 2018

For the Roy Kingdom basin:

The Roy Meteorological Agency is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fulton, located 400 miles west of the northernmost tip of East Roy Kingdom Land, and on recently-upgraded Hurricane Gertrude, located less than 25 miles north of East Roy Kingdom Land.

1. An area of low pressure west of Island B is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. This system is not expected to organize as much as it moves west-southwest due to unfavorable conditions, however, it is expected to enter environmental conditions that are somewhat suitable for tropical cyclone development.
 * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
 * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Another area of low pressure located above North Far Kingdom Bay continues to become better organized. This system is expected to move slowly west while in environmental conditions that are favorable for tropical cyclone formation, and a tropical depression may form from this system by the end of this week.
 * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
 * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Roy