Board Thread:Real-Time hurricane tracking/@comment-26971007-20150928193803/@comment-26971007-20151003201754

My predictions were way off. I said that Joaquin will peak at minimal TS status. I doubt that Joaquin would become a C5 now because it seems to have peaked. However, I wouldn't be surprised if it gets a bump to C5 status in the post-season analyis. If Joaquin does reach C5 status, retirement chances significantly increase. The only Atlantic C5 in the past 15 years that wasn't retired was Emily, and that was because there were so many other, more notable storms in that season. Emily was originally thought to peak at C4 but was later upgraded to C5.