User blog:Bobnekaro/A December Paula: The chances, and some history

It has been a long running saying on this wiki throughout the past few months that the 2016 Atlantic season was going to end on a "December Paula." I hope we get one, since it would be awesome to see a tropical cyclone in my favorite month of the year, in addition to making my 16-7-3 pre-season prediction exactly right!

December storms do occur in the Atlantic from time to time, usually about once a decade. Recent years with storms forming in the month of December include 2003, 2005, 2007 and 2013, with numerous other years having late November storms crossing into December. December storms are not common, but are not unprecedented.

The GFS model is forming an area of low pressure in the central Atlantic in about 6-7 days, a location that tropical and subtropical cyclones develop on rare occasions. This low pressure area is unlikely to develop into a subtropical or tropical cyclone, but it is interesting nonetheless.

So what do you guys think about us getting a Subtropical or Tropical Storm Paula in December? Will we get "Paula" in December? Yes No