User blog:Hurricane Layten/Potential Maarutha raising concerns

OK, I'm sure we've all seen the change in the modelling last night. The GFS in aprticular is aggressive with what could potentially become a cyclonic storm, taking it to category 2 intensity before landfall in Burma/Myanmar as a 963/964 mbar low. This kind of pressure in this basin typically corresponds to a category 3 or category 4 tropical cyclone, or an extremely severe cyclonic storm on the IMD scale.

Anyway, I will be keeping a close eye on this, especially when some models bring it to cyclone intensity by the end of today. I really do hope this is one of those unreliable runs. I really do. A cyclone developing so quick in this region is practically unheard of (only a few storms have managed it),and Burma/Myanmar were in a pickle when it happened with Nargis back in 2008.

I will probably end up gong live with Force Thirteen if I can find a pair of earphones with a decent mic, but if not, ill certainly still be in the Skype channel with them at the very least.

I think I will keep this blog updated, as it is pretty obviously needed.