Talk:2014 Pacific hurricane season/@comment-4074533-20140614160609/@comment-4074533-20140815040532

Another little update on my prediction.

Well, I was right in some sense. Genevieve became a major and killed/cost nothing. But I doubt anyone could have accurately predicted the stunts she performed. For one, my Genevieve was tropical for one round, but the real McCoy was tropical thrice! Additionally, my hurricane completely stayed in the EPAC, while the actual storm transversed all Pacific basins. Third, my storm grazed Mexico, comparing to the real system veering clear of all land. Fourth, the actual Genevieve was tropical for ten days east of the Date Line, while mine did so for just eight. Finally, her real peak winds of 120 knots (140 mph) were stronger than I expected, but the 960 mbar (hPa) was a little high for a C4. All in all, this prediction was better than the past four storms, but not perfect.

Hernan, like I expected, became a Category 1 hurricane and harmed little land. But its peak intensity of 65 knots (75 mph)/992 mbar (hPa) was five knots and five mbar weaker than I forecasted.

TBC...