User blog comment:Money Hurricane/2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions/@comment-27446087-20160521133548

Due to the fact this year will be a transition from El Niño to La Niña, I expect it to be only weak or moderate in nature. However, I do think this is enough to bring us a slightly above-average season - with around 15 named storms, 7-8 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes, possibly including a Category 5. Your prediction would be pretty good for 2017, because La Niña events can often last for 2-3 years (see 2010-2012), when I expect Niña to grow stronger.