Talk:2013 Pacific hurricane season/@comment-4074533-20130729201513

Let me compare my prediction with the real season.

Alvin, like the real McCoy, attained winds of 50 mph and did not affect land, but I overestimated its pressure by 8 mbar.

Barbara formed on June 4, but it formed on May 28 in real life. It also affected Mexico and attained hurricane intensity, but I predicted it would stay offshore.

Cosme was weaker than I estimated. It attained winds of 85 mph/981 mbar and affected Mexico, but I thought it will tap Hawaii.

Dalila was 10 mph and 6 mbar stronger than my prediction, and it, like the real Cosme, affected Mexico, but I thought it would remain away from land.

Erick reached the same pressure I foreshadowed, but its winds were 5 mph weaker than my prediction. It also formed nine days after my hypothetical storm, and it did not make a Panama landfall nor cross into the Atlantic.

Flossie reached 70 mph winds, but it was 7 mbar weaker than predicted, and I underestimated its longevity and impact.

More comparisons will be announced later.