Talk:2013 Atlantic hurricane season (Steven's)/@comment-24519952-20130625021259

Let's compare this season to the real season.

First, my prediction for Andrea was actually pretty close. Just like the real Andrea, the predicted Andrea was in the Gulf of Mexico. The timing was also close, the predicted Andrea lasted from June 8 to June 11, and the real Andrea lasted from June 5 to June 7. But the real Andrea struck Florida and the US east coast instead of Texas. It didn't become a hurricane like I predicted, but it did reach 65 mph, only 10 mph away from hurricane status. The damages and deaths were overestimated too.

Meanwhile, my prediction for Barry was an epic fail. Instead of being between the US east coast and Bermuda like I predicted, the real Barry struck Mexico. The real Barry was also much weaker than the predicted Barry, with the real Barry only reaching 45 mph vs. the predicted Barry reaching 70 mph. But the timing was again pretty close, with the real Barry lasting from June 17 to June 20, and the predicted Barry lasting from June 21 to June 25.

Over all, my predictions are going ok so far. Can't wait to see what the real Chantal will do. Will it form in mid-July and strike Mexico as a hurricane like my prediction, or will it form near the Lesser Antilles, in the Caribbean, or in the open Atlantic and make my prediction a fail? I think the second option is most likely. But I hope that the real Chantal will be at least a little close to my prediction. I also can't wait to see the rest of the season, and see if we have a Category 5 hurricane or 21 named storms like my prediction.