User blog comment:Hurricane Layten/El Nino causing trouble.../@comment-24580134-20150419134309/@comment-27248264-20150420074112

Its hard to tell. the El Niño current seems to have been sat there in the Pacific doing nothing for the last two years. Its hard to tell, as I said. I'm beginning to find forecasting the Atlantic season hard for this year, with SSTs so high for the time of year - its too complicated