National Usercane Center/Usercane Advisories

 NUC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on Hurricane HYPE, SS RYNE, TD AZURE, Hurricane BUMBLEBEE, Hurricane ODILE, Hurricane NKECHINYER, Hurricane BOB, Hurricane FLOYD, TS COLLIN, TS AARON, Hurricane ANTHONY, Hurricane AKIO, TS KERANIQUE, Hurricane DARREN, TS ORLANDO, Hurricane JAMES, Hurricane MINECRAFT, Hurricane GARFIELD, Hurricane DANNY, Hurricane BRICK, SD CONNOR, Hurricane MARIO, TS GARY, TS BRONY, and Hurricane CHAP

 Note: These forecasts are just estimates based off recent trends, and should not be taken very literally for the timetable in which a user will receive promotions/demotions.

The National Usercane Center (NUC) is the branch of the BNWC that tracks usercanes.

These advisories will be updated once every week on Fridays. However, in cases of drastic intensity changes, special advisories may be issued.

General Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNUC 242328 DUOAL

SPECIAL USERCANE OUTLOOK NUC NATIONAL USERCANE CENTER 10:30 AM EST FRI JAN 6 2017

Invest 90U: Convection and organization associated with 90U has increased significantly, and a tropical userpression has formed. The advisories for this system will be initiated soon.


 * Formation chance within 1 week...high...100 percent
 * Formation chance within 1 month...high...100 percent

$$ Forecaster Minecraft

Hurricane Hype
...HYPE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO 225 MPH... INIT 02/27/2017...195 KT...225 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...200 KT...230 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...200 KT...230 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...200 KT...230 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...200 KT...230 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...200 KT...230 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...200 KT...230 MPH

Subtropical Storm Ryne
...RYNE INTENSIFIES SLIGHTLY...

INIT 02/27/2017...50 KT...60 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...50 KT...60 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...50 KT...60 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...50 KT...60 MPH

Tropical Storm Azure
...AZURE'S FUTURE UNCERTAIN...

INIT 02/27/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...35 KT...40 MPH

Hurricane Bumblebee
...BUMBLEBEE STEADY STATE...

INIT 02/27/2017...100 KT...115 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...95 KT...110 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...70 KT...80 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...65 KT...75 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...60 KT...70 MPH (EX) 12W 06/30/2017...60 KT...70 MPH (EX) 16W 07/27/2017...60 KT...70 MPH (EX)

Hurricane Roussil
...ROUSSIL WEAKENS FROM BRIEF 160 MPH PEAK...

INIT 02/27/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...135 KT...155 MPH

Hurricane Nkechinyer
...NKECHINYER REACHES CATEGORY 2...

INIT 02/27/2017...85 KT...100 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...85 KT...100 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...85 KT...100 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...90 KT...105 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...90 KT...105 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...90 KT...105 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...95 KT...110 MPH

Hurricane Bob
...BOB STEADY STATE...

INIT 02/27/2017...175 KT...205 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...175 KT...205 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...175 KT...205 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...175 KT...205 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...175 KT...205 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...175 KT...205 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...175 KT...205 MPH

Hurricane Floyd
...FLOYD KEEPING CATEGORY 5 STATUS...

INIT 02/27/2017...170 KT...190 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...170 KT...190 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...165 KT...185 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...165 KT...185 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...170 KT...190 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...165 KT...185 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...165 KT...185 MPH

Tropical Storm Collin
...CONVECTION INCREASING WITH COLLIN, GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED...

INIT 02/27/2017...35 KT...40 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...35 KT...40 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...40 KT...45 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...40 KT...45 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...50 KT...60 MPH

Tropical Storm Aaron
...LITTLE STRENGTHENING EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...

INIT 02/27/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...40 KT...45 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...45 KT...50 MPH

Hurricane Anthony
...ANTHONY REMAINS INTENSE, INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED...

INIT 02/27/2017...180 KT...200 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...180 KT...200 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...180 KT...200 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...185 KT...205 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...185 KT...205 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...185 KT...205 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...185 KT...205 MPH

Hurricane Akio
...AKIO EXPECTED TO STALL IN INTENSITY IN THE SHORT TERM...

INIT 02/27/2017...120 KT...140 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...120 KT...140 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...125 KT...145 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...125 KT...145 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...130 KT...150 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...130 KT...150 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...130 KT...150 MPH

Tropical Storm Keranique
...KERANIQUE EXPLOSIVELY WEAKENS TO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM, DISSIPATION EXPECTED SOON...

INIT 02/27/2017...35 KT...40 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...DISSIPATED...

Hurricane Darren
...DARREN ATTAINS CATEGORY 5 INTENSITY, DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED, HOWEVER...

INIT 02/27/2017...145 KT...165 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...145 KT...165 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...150 KT...175 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...100 KT...115 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...65 KT...75 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...DISSIPATED...

Tropical Storm Orlando
...ORLANDO STALLS...

INIT 02/27/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...40 KT...45 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...40 KT...45 MPH

Hurricane James
...NO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED...

INIT 02/27/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...135 KT...155 MPH

Hurricane Minecraft
...MINECRAFT COULD REACH CATEGORY 4 SOON...

INIT 02/27/2017...110 KT...125 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...110 KT...125 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...115 KT...130 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...115 KT...130 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...120 KT...140 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...120 KT...140 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...120 KT...140 MPH

Hurricane Garfield
...GARFIELD DEEPENS FURTHER, CATEGORY 5 INTENSITY POSSIBLE IN THE FAR FUTURE...

INIT 02/27/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...140 KT...160 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...140 KT...160 MPH

Hurricane Danny
...DANNY APPROACHING SOME WIND SHEAR, WEAKENING COULD COMMENCE...

INIT 02/27/2017...100 KT...115 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...95 KT...110 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...95 KT...110 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...95 KT...110 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...100 KT...115 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...100 KT...115 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...105 KT...120 MPH

Hurricane Brick
...BRICK A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE, COULD GROW STRONGER...

INIT 02/27/2017...130 KT...150 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...135 KT...155 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...140 KT...160 MPH

Subtropical Depression Connor
...CONNOR WEAKENS... INIT 02/27/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...30 KT...35 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...25 KT...30 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...25 KT...30 MPH

Hurricane Mario
...MARIO A POWERFUL HURRICANE...

INIT 02/27/2017...105 KT...120 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...105 KT...120 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...105 KT...120 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...110 KT...125 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...110 KT...125 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...115 KT...130 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...115 KT...130 MPH

Tropical Storm Gary
...GARY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM, FUTURE UNCERTAIN...

INIT 02/27/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...40 KT...45 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...40 KT...45 MPH

Tropical Storm Brony
...BRONY STEADY STATE...

INIT 02/27/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...45 KT...50 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...40 KT...45 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...40 KT...45 MPH

Hurricane Chap
...CHAP A CATEGORY 1 USERCANE...

INIT 02/27/2017...70 KT...80 MPH 1W  03/10/2017...70 KT...80 MPH 2W  04/07/2017...75 KT...85 MPH 4W  05/05/2017...75 KT...85 MPH 8W  06/02/2017...80 KT...90 MPH 12W 06/30/2017...80 KT...90 MPH 16W 07/27/2017...85 KT...100 MPH