User blog comment:Farm River/2017 Retirement Predictions and Ratings/@comment-33388760-20171112173850

I think only Harvey, Irma, and Maria will be booted. Maybe Nate. It was an unnamed tropical depression when it did most of its damage in Costa Rica and Panama (the two countries most likely to ask for its removal). At its strongest there, it was a minimal tropical storm. It could easily pull a Paul (1982) or an Otto (2016). For me, it's a literal coin flip at 50/50.

Now onto Ophelia. Yes, it caused a billion dollars in damage to Ireland, but they aren't on the Committee. And the UK is mostly on for Bermuda and their Caribbean territories. And when adjusted for GDP, Hurricane Debbie caused $6-7 billion in damage there in 1961 yet that wasn't retired. Even if Ireland were on the committee, the USA and (to a lesser extent) Mexico are living proof that $1 billion in damage alone isn't always a shoe-in for retirement. If that were the case, Beatriz, Agatha, Alex, Karl, Lee, and Isaac would have already been removed. So I'd say 30% for Ophelia.