User blog:VileMaster/What I expect in July

As we know from last season, July is a controversial month for TCs. Last year, we had no activity in the Atlantic, while the EPAC and WPAC were active. I don't expect quite the same scenario this year.

Atlantic
For the Atlantic, I predict 1-2 storms, 0-1 hurricanes, and 0-1 major hurricanes in July. This is based on the moist MDR and low shear the models predict this July. I think we could see a weak hurricane later this month to start us off. SAL is also below average, which is usually July's killer.

East Pacific
I expect a near to below average July in the EPAC, with 1-3 storms, 0-2 hurricanes, and 0-1 major hurricanes. This is based on the very present dry air dominating the further east portion of the basin. However, knowing the nature of EPAC cyclones, it could likely be fairly active.

West Pacific
I think things will begin to pick up a bit now. Although I don't think it'll have a rocket start. I predict 2-5 storms, 1-2 typhoons, and 0-1 super typhoons (150+). Although shear is fairly present in the basin, this is usually the time when this basin picks up in activity.