2018 Philippine basin typhoon season

''Disclaimer: This is just a hypothetical live season which exclusive at Philippine Area of Responsibility, the place where local weather center tracks typhoons. not related to ongoing real Pacific typhoon season''

The 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season is a live season which takes place in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which is part of Western Pacific basin. This time, local Filipino names are assigned in use for the typhoons that will enter the area. It does not track areas outside of the PAR. The season will officially start at May 15, and will last through the end of the year.

Outlook


FARM RIVER METEOROLOGICAL CENTER PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 27, 2018 7:00 PM PHT

There are currently no active disturbances in the basin.

~FORECASTER FARM

The Lucarius Hurricane Center (LHC) has also issued the c as a weather model to showcase the model forecast for the active disturbances.Gary K Weather Center (GKWC) has also issued his own Wind Probability Models

Main Forecasters

 * Farm River - head forecaster.
 * GloriouslyBlonde - simulated storm image maker, head of recon.
 * Charka123 - Model intensity guide maker.
 * KingLucarius - Forecaster, Article Description Producer

Occasional Forecasters

 * HurricaneBrick
 * Bluetiger0824
 * GaryKJR
 * No.1 Mobile

Current Advisories
All advisories issued are found here: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/advisory archive

There are currently no active storms in the basin.

Forecast
THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO ACTIVE STORMS IN THE BASIN

Super Typhoon Albert (Adarna)
A disturbance developed into a tropical depression on May 18 while located to the southeast of Zamboanga.It gradually intensified and reached tropical storm status on the night of May 19 and named Albert by FRMC, and Adarna by PAGASA. It gradually intensified and became a strong typhoon, after entering the northwestern part of the South China Sea. On May 27, 16:00 HKT, Albert strengthened to a super typhoon, around 100 km south of Hong Kong. Recon data found winds of 205 km/h and pressure of 923 mbar. At 1:00 HKT, the next day the eye was approximately 20 km southwest of Hong Kong with the typhoon heading onto the mainland in a northerly direction. It transitioned to a post-tropical cyclone afterwards. Hong Kong Observatory issued Hurricane Signal No. 10 due to the storm. It only caused few deaths in the main city, but the others were from other towns and Macao. The storm caused an estimated damage of $12 billion, making one of the most damaging typhoon in the basin. It also caused 295 deaths. In Philippines, many fishermen were stalled by the storm, but no deaths were reported. Rough waves were reported along coastline of Palawan.

Severe Tropical Storm Brianna (Bayani)
An area of low pressure was spotted east of Mindanao. On May 28, PAGASA declared it as tropical depression, naming "Bayani". Two days after it's formation, FRMC also issued an advisory on it, making it a tropical depression. It stalled and weakened a bit due to wind shear, but on June 4, it strengthened to a tropical storm and named Brianna, off the coast of Mindanao. However, it is only brief, as it weakens again. On June 6, FRMC issued it's last advisory on it, but next day, it regenerated and advisories were resumed. When it entered the Sulu Sea, conditions were favorable for further development, as it became more organized. It strengthened to a severe tropical storm, and made landfall in Palawan. Wind shear weakened the storm, and it was downgraded to a remnant low by June 14.

Typhoon Cyrus (Cielo)
Another disturbance was spotted east of Mindanao. Later it would strengthen and reached Tropical Storm status by June 11, prompting FRMC to give the name Cyrus, and Cielo by PAGASA. It gradually intensified, but it would able to intensify to a severe tropical storm and later a weak typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed the storm to further intensify, as it becoming more annular and deepening further. It reached super typhoon status south of Taiwan, prompting immediate evacuation. It further intensified to a Category 5, and reached it's peak intensity of 185 km/h and pressure of 928 mbar. However, it entered rapid cool waters and extremely high wind shear, allowing the storm to rapidly weaken and dissipate by June 20, never making any landfall except on islands of Batanes. Like Albert, the Hong Kong Observatory issued Gale Wind Signal No.8 due to the storm. It caused far less damage than Albert, but it still killed a lot and destroyed several homes, plus flash flooding in Hong Kong. It caused $728 million in damage and 43 deaths.

Super Typhoon Denise (Danilo)
A disturbance formed well East of the Philippines. It organized before being classified as a Tropical Depression. However, it wasn't long before it was named Tropical Storm Denise. Denise began gradual intensification as she neared the Philippines. It went through fluctuation between Category 2 and 3 as Denise moved through the islands, still continuing to strengthen. Denise reached Category 4 status in the Sulu Sea, prompting a Signal No.4 watch in certain areas. It finally reached Category 5 Super Typhoon strength before making landfall in Palawan. It wasn't long before Denise started to weaken. Denise finally level out, sustaining Category 1 Typhoon level winds up until landfall. Denise started to rapidly dissipate after landfall. On July 16, Denise was announced to have fully dissipated. Denise did over $250 million in damage and killed almost 200, mostly in Central Philippines (mostly Cebu and Bohol).

Tropical Storm Ernie
A disturbance formed south of Hainan Island. On June 27 was designated a tropical depression. Not long after, the storm strengthened sufficiently to receive the name Ernie. It would slowly move eastward before making landfall. The interaction with land weakened the storm back down to tropical depression status. The storm failed to restrengthen, moving west-northwest at very high speeds over the next few days. Ernie brushed Southern Taiwan but overall effects were minimal. It dissipated well west of Taiwan on July 3.

Typhoon Francine
A low pressure area formed near Guam. Initial observations made the low stay at its current state. However, on July 4, conditions began to increase favorability for development, and the system was named Francine. Francine stalled for a bit but it resumed it strengthening period where it become a typhoon. It began a period of rapid deepening, where Francine reached high-end Category 4 strength with 175 kph (10-min) winds, closing into super typhoon status. Francine maintained it's strength for hours before weakening again, mostly due to eyewall replacement cycle, and began to accelerate east. Francine turned extratropical around July 23, and was absorbed later on.

Tropical Storm Gerald (Erning)
On July 7, a tropical depression formed west of the Philippine Islands. The depression moved over the islands, sustaining winds as it headed North. The depression was named Gerald. When it moved north of the Philippines, Gerald strengthened marginally as it curved west towards China. It finally made landfall before dissipating on July 14. Gerald dealt minimal damage and no lives were lost. It still enhanced the monsoon, causing minimal rains.

Typhoon Hope (Fernan)
On July 8 a tropical depression formed a short distance East of the Philippine Islands. It quickly intensified into Tropical Storm Hope. Hope began to rapidly intensify, as it reached typhoon status. Hope finally peaked at Category 3 typhoon status, having a bit disorganized structure as it stalls down. Despite this it weakened considerably down to a Category 2 typhoon before making it's first landfall. It weakened down to a tropical storm as it emerged into the South China Sea, allowing it to restrengthen back to a Category 1 typhoon. Hope made its final landfall in Hainan, in China, as a typhoon, dissipating rapidly. Hope dealt 78 million in damages and killed 34.

Typhoon Irving (Gemma)
A tropical depression formed well east of the Philippine Islands. It intensified at a moderate rate, becoming Tropical Storm Irving. Irving continued to steadily intensify over the next several days. Irving reached Category 1 typhoon status before making landfall that same day. Irving weakened considerably down to a tropical depression. Irving despite re-converging into water dissipated on July 26. Irving caused $22 million in damages and killed 3 people.

Severe Tropical Storm Janice (Hilario)
A low pressure area northeast of the Philippines before moving in a non-linear path northward. It strengthened sufficiently to be named Janice, rapidly intensifying. Janice would peak as a severe tropical storm before weakening due to cooler waters. It became extratropical before hitting Japan. Overall damage was minimal and 6 deaths were recorded. It brought the Japanese drought an end but floods then affected a lot of villages.

Super Typhoon Kurt
On July 20, a tropical depression spawned off the coast of Indonesia. The young system intensified steadily over that day before being named. Shortly after receiving the name Kurt, it quickly became a Category 1 typhoon. Kurt accelerated intensification further, quickly becoming a super typhoon, the 3rd of the season. It would sustain for a little while before weakening shortly before landfall in Malaysia. It would weaken down to a tropical storm due to land interaction as it enters the Indian Ocean. However, Kurt would intensify back to a minimal Typhoon for a short time before weakening once again to cooler surface temperatures. It would brush Sumatra, Indonesia as a weakening cyclone before dissipating in the Bay of Bengal. Kurt caused extensive damage across the Malay Archipelago.

Typhoon Lauren (Isadora)
On July 24, a tropical depression formed from a low pressure area near Palau. It strengthened as it went north before making an abrupt turn west. Lauren would reach typhoon status not long later. Lauren would weaken to a tropical storm due to high wind shear, before making landfall in the Philippines. Lauren dissipated over the islands on July 29. The system caused minimal impacts in the country.

Tropical Storm Mateo
A non-tropical low spawned off the coast of Shandong, China on July 29. It would eastward before making an erratic turn northward. It gained some tropical characteristics and classified as a subtropical storm, receiving the name Mateo. Mateo gained full tropical characteristics and became a tropical storm. Not long after, Mateo made landfall in North Korea and turned extratropical afterwards.

Tropical Depression 14F
A tropical system formed a small distance east of Vietnam. It would quickly develop into a Tropical Depression shortly before making landfall in Vietnam. It would soon degenerate into a wave before dying over Laos. The depression caused floods in the region causing agricultural damage.

Typhoon Nina (Jasmine)
On August 8, a tropical depression spawned in the deep tropics in the Pacific Ocean. FRMC designated the system as a tropical storm then and received the name "Nina". The storm moved slowly and it took several days before an eye popped, making it a typhoon. It intensified gradually and made it's initial peak at Category 3 intensity before making landfall in Central Philippines. It emerged in the South China Sea and it would raply intensify to a Category 4 typhoon, showing annular characteristics. Nina then peaked winds of 175 km/hr before making landfall in Central Vietnam, and the landmass severely deteriorated Nina's structure. Nina weakened further and dissipated as September starts.

Tropical Storm Odell (Kokoy)
On August 13, a tropical depression formed and quickly developed a short distance east of Visayas region. This depression rapidly organized, and the FRMC designated it as a tropical storm. Odell would however weaken temporarily after moving north-northwest near Taiwan. Odell abruptly changed direction to south then to west due to a ridge. Odell would strengthen again back to a tropical storm before making landfall in China and therefore, dissipating. Damages amount to $176 million with 45 deaths.

Tropical Depression 17F
A tropical depression spawned on August 28 well to the South of Japan. It moved north, changing very little in intensity. A few days later, the weak depression turned northeast and undergo an eventual extratropical transition. 17F would become unrecognizable on September 2, well to the east of Japan. The depression did not make landfall, as a result causing no damage or fatalities.

Severe Tropical Storm Portia (Lorenzo)
A tropical depression formed on August 28 in the open western Pacific Ocean. The depression moved westward as it intensifies. Later on August 30, the system would gain enough strength to for FRMC to classify it as a tropical storm. Portia stalled northward a short distance from the Philippine Islands before resuming it's westward track. Portia strengthened to a severe tropical storm before making landfall. The storm then weakened due to land interaction. It re-entered the South China Sea. Portia failed to strengthen back again, resulting in dissipation on September 9. Damages are currently unknown, 18 deaths were counted.

Super Typhoon Ron (Myrna)
A tropical depression formed in the deep Pacific Ocean on August 31. The system gained enough organization for FRMC to classify it to a tropical storm, receiving the name "Ron". Ron moved westward and intensified to a typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed it to intensify rapidly, as it reached super typhoon in just 36 hours. Ron started to deepen as it forms a clear eye. Ron peaked with winds of 220 km/hr (10-minute) and pressure of 899 millibar. It made landfall

Typhoon Shelby (Ningning)
A Tropical Depression formed South of China on September 1. It immediately began to intensify while moving North-Northeast. The system would be given the name Shelby, Philippine name Ningning the next day. Shelby would become a Typhoon, the 11th of the season, on September 4 with its Southern eyewall over Taiwan. Shelby temporarily assumed a more Easterly track before making an abrupt turn North, becoming a Category 2 Typhoon not long after. Shelby went into a loop South of Japan. Midway through this process, Shelby peaked at Category 3 Typhoon status at 90 mph, 970 mbar. As a result of cooler Sea Surface Temperatures, Shelby weakened before making landfall in South Korea as a minimal Typhoon. Shelby would undergo an Extratropical transition in the Sea of Japan on September 12.

Super Typhoon Timothy (Olivia)
A Tropical Depression formed on September 15 well to the East of the Philippine Islands. It began to intensify quickly and was given the name Timothy. Still intensifying, Timothy was given the name Olivia by the PASAGA. Timothy became the 12th Typhoon of the season. The typhoon would slow down, still strengthening as it did so. Shortly after becoming the 5th Super Typhoon of the season, Timothy made an ubrupt turn due North. Timothy reached a peak intensity of 120 mph and 911 mbar shortly afterward. Starting to weaken profusely due to unfavorable conditions, The typhoon accelerated towards Japan. Timothy made landfall as a significant typhoon in Japan, on September 28. Finally, the now tropical storm would undergo an Extratropical transition in the Sea of Japan and would accelerate west before dissipation on September 30. Significant damages of $270 million were totaled in Japan in addition to 45 deaths.

Super Typhoon Victoria (Precy)
On September 18, another Tropical Depression formed a short distance to the West of the International Date Line. It wasn't long before it was given the name Victoria due to organization. Victoria would continue to move generally WNW while gradually intensifying. Continuing on this path, the strong storm achieved Typhoon and then Super Typhoon status, becoming the 2nd straight to achieve this. It was not long before Victoria reached a peak intensity of 115 mph and 922 mbar. However, due to increasingly unfavorable conditions, Victoria began to weaken profusely. After weakening to Category 2 Typhoon status, Victoria changed direction towards the North, causing damages to the Ryukyu Islands of Japan. Victoria accelerated passing near Japan and making landfall in South Korea as a minimal Typhoon. Continuing to weaken the Extratropical remnants slammed into the very Western portion of Russia. On October 1, Victoria dissipated. Victoria was attributed to 16 fatalities and $165 million in damages.

Storm Names
Main Page: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/naming

The PAGASA and JTWC uses these names to name any tropical depression that enters the PAR area.

Farm River Meteorological Center
The FRMC also names storms that reached tropical storm intensity.

Auxiliary
Will be used once the main list gets exhausted. Two names, Wormadam and Ampharos crossed from the Central Pacific, and retained it's name.