User blog:HurricanePatricia2015/Chances increasing for potential Caribbean development in the coming days

This post is being written in order to shed light on the new area of interest in the Gulf of Panama. This area of low pressure is currently stalled over the unusually warm waters in the area. I want to pay particular attention to the euro moeel, which suddenly develops a hurricqne between 7-9 days out, peaking it at 970 mbar in the process. People in these regions need to monitor the progress of this potential hurricane as its precursor low cintinues to organise.

Next up, the gfs models are developing a sprawlung, disorganised subtropical storm in about 7 days as well, peaking it at around 1000 mbar in the process, and moving eratically in the southern Caribbean for several days before opening out into a trough of low pressure again.

Whatever the outcome, the system is producing very heavy rainfall, which will likely produce life-threatening conditions across all of the areas affected by the storm.

I will post more on this system as the aituation develops further.