User blog:AGirlCalledKeranique/Two things -- A theory and possible development

Hi there, ya'll! I'm AGirlCalledKeranique, as you all already know, which I still don't know why I am typing this intro. But anyway, we'll start discussing right on it!

My Theory
First of all, a theory/prediction for the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. I'm thinking this season will be a record setter, and or crazy season; here is why I think that.

Hurricane Alex was a January hurricane, which really didn't break any records except that it formed in January, however it was rare.

Tropical Storm Bonnie did not break any records but it did regenerate off the coast.

Tropical Storm Colin became the earliest named C storm.

Tropical Storm Danielle became the earliest D storm.

And due to the record breaking, and possible tropical development according to the GFS (although not the most accurate, can be accurate in some cases) and POSSIBLY the CMC (which is the most inaccurate model I've seen) I believe that the earliest E storm is on the way. So, I've upped my predictions from 16 storms to about 19-20 storms, which would get us up to the T or V storm. If this rapid development keeps going, I believe we will have 2005 style activity.

Development
Second of all, GFS (which is the second most accurate model out of ECMWF, GFS and CMC) shows a low developing around June 29th, to the south south west of Cuba, or just north of the Honduras. GFS shows this model quickly strengthening and reaching depression status by the 30th and attaining tropical storm status to the west of Cuba on July 1st, before following nearly the same exact track as Colin, except making landfall there as a category 2 hurricane with wind speeds of nearly 100 miles per hour.

GFS shows it attaining hurricane status right before landfall, and attaining 70mph winds just west of Cuba.

Model and Projected Track
Even though GFS is an inaccurate model, here is the pictures I have: