Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki:Chat Logs/2.8/04-20-2017

00:00:29 UTC  ugh 00:00:43 UTC  [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/avn-animated.gif"] 00:01:02 UTC  the central convection is holding fairly strong 00:01:08 UTC  convection to the east is waning 00:01:26 UTC  @Mario see this? [img="www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017041918/gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_32.png"] 00:01:33 UTC  ECMWF showed something similar yesterday 00:01:53 UTC  I saw but it dissipates inland I think 00:02:27 UTC  it shows it dissipating before it reaches land 00:02:43 UTC  probably not anything but interesting nonetheless 00:02:51 UTC  May is right around the corner. We have to start watching the WATL then 00:03:39 UTC  Hurricane MarioProtIV has dissipated! 00:05:24 UTC  Hurricane MarioProtIV has formed! 00:05:48 UTC  [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/avn-animated.gif"] 00:06:03 UTC  central convection still holding on 00:06:41 UTC  I would love for ASCAT to pick up some 35 kt vectors in that convection at 9 00:06:44 UTC  same 00:06:49 UTC <Bobnekaro> New frame [img="hwww.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/20170419_2345Z-rb.gif"] 00:06:50 UTC <Bobnekaro> oops 00:06:54 UTC <Bobnekaro> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/20170419_2345Z-rb.gif"] 00:07:13 UTC <Bobnekaro> deep oranges increasing a bit 00:07:14 UTC <Brickcraft1> If they still have that thing tomorrow, I'll add it to MY WMHB 00:07:37 UTC <Bobnekaro> We're only just getting started. :) 00:07:40 UTC <Bobnekaro> Long season ahead of us 00:10:38 UTC <inline-alert> Hurricane MasterGarfield has formed! 00:10:41 UTC <Bobnekaro> wb 00:11:00 UTC <MarioProtIV> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/avn-animated.gif"] 00:11:21 UTC <Bobnekaro> Euro shows SD 1 being able to avoid absorption until Friday lol 00:11:26 UTC <Bobnekaro> [img="www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017041912/ecmwf_z500_mslp_atl_3.png"] 00:11:36 UTC <Bobnekaro> Fujiwhara-like 00:11:46 UTC <MarioProtIV> The thing above the 988 is One? 00:11:48 UTC <Bobnekaro> yep 00:11:55 UTC <MasterGarfield> back 00:12:00 UTC <Bobnekaro> wb 00:12:04 UTC <Bobnekaro> it might get entangled in fronts by then tho 00:12:16 UTC <MarioProtIV> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/avn-animated.gif"] 00:12:23 UTC <MasterGarfield> k 00:12:48 UTC <Bobnekaro> GFS shows outright absorption. ECMWF keeps it about a day longer. 00:13:16 UTC <Bobnekaro> CMC shows SD 1 absorbing the ET LOL 00:13:20 UTC <MasterGarfield> :P 00:13:26 UTC <MarioProtIV> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/20170419_2345Z-avn.gif"] 00:13:41 UTC <MasterGarfield> uncertainty in the models I see 00:13:42 UTC <Bobnekaro> The resultant ET will be real interesting 00:13:53 UTC <MarioProtIV> http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L 00:14:10 UTC <MarioProtIV> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/avn-animated.gif"] 00:14:36 UTC <MarioProtIV> this thing doesn't want to update 00:14:54 UTC <Bobnekaro> the rb-animated one is the one I use 00:15:14 UTC <MarioProtIV> post the new frame again but with avn 00:15:27 UTC <Bobnekaro> the center looks to be jogging east-northeast again 00:15:51 UTC <MarioProtIV> inb4 it just meanders across the Atlantic instead of being absorbed 00:16:02 UTC <MasterGarfield> [small] without ever becoming a SS 00:16:04 UTC <Bobnekaro> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/20170419_2345Z-avn.gif"] 00:16:12 UTC <MarioProtIV> [img="www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01L/imagery/avn-animated.gif"] 00:16:23 UTC <MasterGarfield> looks like a sheared TD

00:16:40 UTC <MarioProtIV> the convection is increasing 00:16:46 UTC <Bobnekaro> over the center yes 00:16:53 UTC <Bobnekaro> I hope it can avoid being absorbed 00:16:59 UTC <MarioProtIV> it might be enough to warrant some 35 kt vectors for upgrading 00:17:14 UTC <Bobnekaro> !savelogs