Bob Nekaro Weather Center/Arctic Cyclone Outlook

000 ABNT20 KBNWC 242328 PWONP

SPECIAL POLAR WEATHER OUTLOOK BOB NEKARO WEATHER CENTER RALEIGH, NC 1:20 PM EDT JUNE 25, 2016

An extratropical cyclone is still expected to travel to the east of Greenland by next weekend. This cyclone has a narrow window of developing into a polar or subpolar cyclone late next week when it enters the Arctic Circle region. Current conditions, such as waters too warm, should inhibit polar development of the cyclone. However, when the cyclone briefly travels over the north Atlantic cold blob by next Friday, it still could briefly acquire some polar or subpolar characteristics. The next special polar weather outlook on this system will be issued by 11:00 PM EDT tonight. If it develops, it will be the first named polar cyclone to develop in June or July in the Arctic region.


 * Formation chance within 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
 * Formation chance within 5 days...low...30 percent

$$ Forecaster Bob