User blog:Sassmaster15/What's in store for September?

Source Season

Hello HHW!

It's Forecaster Sassmaster here, and today I'll be giving you an update on the September outlook for the Atlantic!

New Invests
Late yesterday, we began monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic...a well-defined and organizing tropical wave near Cape Verde, and a second tropical area of low pressure just off the coast of Louisiana. The Cape Verde wave, dubbed Invest 94L, is predicted to be a long-track Cape Verde-type major hurricane following its predecessor, Hurricane Bonnie. With chances of development extremely likely after passing through the Cape Verde islands, it is expected to begin developing into a tropical cyclone by Tuesday. Should 94L be assigned a name, it will be named Danielle; the fourth named storm of the season, respectively. Regardless of development, 94L is expected to bring heavy rain to Cape Verde beginning early tomorrow.

Meanwhile, a second broadband area of low pressure with localized convection associated with the remnants of a tropical wave has begun organizing south of Louisiana. An unusually large weather system, this storm has begun firing deep convection as it slowly ambles towards the Louisiana coast. A recent recon investigation reported sustained tropical-storm force winds of 35 knots within the eastern side of the convection, with higher gusts. Dubbed Invest 95L, this system has a marginal chance of developing into a tropical cyclone due to favorable oceanic conditions, but proximity to land and displaced convection to the east of the center has since lowered the chances. As the system moves over land, devastating flooding is to expected from torrential rainfall beginning as early as tomorrow morning. All residents throughout Louisiana should continue to monitor the progression of 95L.

Looking Ahead
Despite a slow and inactive, but relatively intense, August, nearly all models are predicting record activity throughout this month, beginning with 94L. GFS and HWRF are each predicting three major hurricanes this month, with HWRF showcasing a 909 millibar Category 5 hurricane in the Caribbean that maybe Earl on September 11. As for 94L, which may develop into Danielle on Tuesday, it is expected to become a Category 3 hurricane near the Leeward Islands before abruptly shifting northward and careening through the Bahamas and up the East Coast of the United States. It is safe to say it is highly plausible September may end with Karl due to the level of activity models are predicting this month.

Remember to stay safe and brace yourself for any impending disasters. Review your hurricane-preparedness plan and evacuation routes, as they maybe necessary. By staying safe and knowing what to do, you can ultimately save yourself and your family during a hurricane strike.

That's all for now!

~Forecaster Sassmaster