User blog:Hurricane Layten/Chances increasing to get Arlene

Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 AM EDT Wed Apr 19 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system is located over the central Atlantic more than 700 miles southwest of the Azores. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized since yesterday, and winds to near gale force have developed northeast through southeast of the well-defined center. This system still has the opportunity to become a subtropical cyclone during the next day or so before it becomes absorbed by a larger extratropical cyclone on Thursday. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 2 PM EDT this afternoon. For additional information on this system, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
 * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
 * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent