2018 Philippine basin typhoon season

''Disclaimer: This is just a hypothetical live season which exclusive at Philippine Area of Responsibility, the place where local weather center tracks typhoons. not related to ongoing real Pacific typhoon season''

The 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season is a live season which takes place in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which is part of Western Pacific basin. This time, local Filipino names are assigned in use for the typhoons that will enter the area. It does not track areas outside of the PAR. The season will officially start at May 15, and will last through the end of the year.

Outlook


FARM RIVER METEOROLOGICAL CENTER PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 9, 2018 7:00 PM PHT

A new area of investigation is spotted by the deep tropics. Conditions are expected to be somewhat favorable and a tropical depression may form within several days as it moves westward.

Formation chances within 48 hours...low...10 percent Formation chances within 5 days...low...30 percent

~FORECASTER FARM

The Lucarius Hurricane Center (LHC) has also issued the c as a weather model to showcase the model forecast for the active disturbances.Gary K Weather Center (GKWC) has also issued his own Wind Probability Models

Main Forecasters

 * Farm River - head forecaster.
 * GloriouslyBlonde - simulated storm image maker, head of recon.
 * Charka123 - Model intensity guide maker.
 * KingLucarius - Forecaster, Article Description Maker

Occasional Forecasters

 * HurricaneBrick
 * Bluetiger0824
 * GaryKJR
 * No.1 Mobile

Current Advisories
All advisories issued are found here: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/advisory archive

Super Typhoon Ervin
Super Typhoon ERVIN FORECAST

INIT FORECAST VALID 11/11/2018 MAX WIND 195 KPH (10-MIN) 270 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  918 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 11/12/2018 MAX WIND 220 KPH (10-MIN) 295 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  886 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 11/13/2018 MAX WIND 185 KPH (10-MIN) 260 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  916 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 11/14/2018 MAX WIND 175 KPH (10-MIN) 220 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  939 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 11/15/2018 MAX WIND 150 KPH (10-MIN) 185 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  957 MBAR.

Super Typhoon Albert (Adarna)
A disturbance developed into a tropical depression on May 18 while located to the southeast of Zamboanga.undefinedIt gradually intensified and reached tropical storm status on the night of May 19 and named Albert by FRMC, and Adarna by PAGASA. It gradually intensified and became a strong typhoon, after entering the northwestern part of the South China Sea. On May 27, 16:00 HKT, Albert strengthened to a super typhoon, around 100 km south of Hong Kong. Recon data found winds of 205 km/h and pressure of 923 mbar. At 1:00 HKT, the next day the eye was approximately 20 km southwest of Hong Kong with the typhoon heading onto the mainland in a northerly direction. It transitioned to a post-tropical cyclone afterwards. Hong Kong Observatory issued Hurricane Signal No. 10 due to the storm. It only caused few deaths in the main city, but the others were from other towns and Macao. The storm caused an estimated damage of $12 billion, making one of the most damaging typhoon in the basin. It also caused 295 deaths. In Philippines, many fishermen were stalled by the storm, but no deaths were reported. Rough waves were reported along coastline of Palawan.

Severe Tropical Storm Brianna (Bayani)
An area of low pressure was spotted east of Mindanao. On May 28, PAGASA declared it as tropical depression, naming "Bayani". Two days after it's formation, FRMC also issued an advisory on it, making it a tropical depression. It stalled and weakened a bit due to wind shear, but on June 4, it strengthened to a tropical storm and named Brianna, off the coast of Mindanao. However, it is only brief, as it weakens again. On June 6, FRMC issued it's last advisory on it, but next day, it regenerated and advisories were resumed. When it entered the Sulu Sea, conditions were favorable for further development, as it became more organized. It strengthened to a severe tropical storm, and made landfall in Palawan. Wind shear weakened the storm, and it was downgraded to a remnant low by June 14.

Typhoon Cyrus (Cielo)
Another disturbance was spotted east of Mindanao. Later it would strengthen and reached Tropical Storm status by June 11, prompting FRMC to give the name Cyrus, and Cielo by PAGASA. It gradually intensified, but it would able to intensify to a severe tropical storm and later a weak typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed the storm to further intensify, as it becoming more annular and deepening further. It reached super typhoon status south of Taiwan, prompting immediate evacuation. It further intensified to a Category 5, and reached it's peak intensity of 185 km/h and pressure of 928 mbar. However, it entered rapid cool waters and extremely high wind shear, allowing the storm to rapidly weaken and dissipate by June 20, never making any landfall except on islands of Batanes. Like Albert, the Hong Kong Observatory issued Gale Wind Signal No.8 due to the storm. It caused far less damage than Albert, but it still killed a lot and destroyed several homes, plus flash flooding in Hong Kong. It caused $728 million in damage and 43 deaths.

Super Typhoon Denise (Danilo)
A disturbance formed well East of the Philippines. It organized before being classified as a Tropical Depression. However, it wasn't long before it was named Tropical Storm Denise. Denise began gradual intensification as she neared the Philippines. It went through fluctuation between Category 2 and 3 as Denise moved through the islands, still continuing to strengthen. Denise reached Category 4 status in the Sulu Sea, prompting a Signal No.4 watch in certain areas. It finally reached Category 5 Super Typhoon strength before making landfall in Palawan. It wasn't long before Denise started to weaken. Denise finally level out, sustaining Category 1 Typhoon level winds up until landfall. Denise started to rapidly dissipate after landfall. On July 16th, Denise was announced to have fully dissipated. Denise did over $250 million in damage and killed almost 200, mostly in Central Philippines (mostly Cebu and Bohol).

Tropical Storm Ernie
A disturbance was found near China. On June 27th was designated a Tropical Depression. Not long after, the storm strengthened sufficiently to receive the name Ernie. It would slowly move East before making landfall. The interaction with land weakened the storm back down to Tropical Depression status. The storm failed to restrengthen, moving West-Northwest at very high speeds over the next few days. Ernie brushed Southern Taiwan but overall effects were minimal. It dissipated well west of Taiwan on July 3rd.

Typhoon Francine
A low pressure area was spotted near Guam. Initial observations made the low stay at it's current state. However, on July 4, conditions began to increase favorability for development, and the system was named Francine. Francine stalled for a bit but it resumed it strengthening period where it become a typhoon. It began a period of rapid deepening, where Francine reached high-end Category 4 strength with 175 kph (10-min) winds, closing into super typhoon status. Francine maintained it's strength for hours before weakening again, mostly due to eyewall replacement cycle, and began to accelerate east. Francine turned extratropical around July 23, and was absorbed later on.

Tropical Storm Gerald (Erning)
On July 7th, a Tropical Depression formed near the Philippine Islands. The depression moved over the islands, sustaining winds as it headed North. The depression was named Gerald, North of the Philippines. Gerald strengthened marginally as it curved West toward China. It finally made landfall before dissipating on July 14th. Gerald dealt minimal damage and no lives were lost. It still enhanced the monsoon, causing minimal rains.

Typhoon Hope (Fernan)
On July 8th a Tropical Depression formed a short distance East of the Philippine Islands. It quickly intensified into Tropical Storm Hope. Hope began to rapidly intensify, as it reached typhoon status. Hope finally peaked at Category 3 Typhoon status, having a bit disorganized structure. Despite this it weakened considerably down to a Category 2 Typhoon before making it's first landfall. It weakened down to a Tropical Storm as it emerged into the South China Sea, allowing it to restrengthen back to a Category 1 Typhoon. Hope made it's final landfall in Hainan, in China, as a typhoon, dissipating rapidly. Hope dealt 78 million in damages and killed 34.

Typhoon Irving (Gemma)
A Tropical Depression formed well East of the Philippine Islands. It intensified at a moderate rate, becoming Tropical Storm Irving. Irving continued to steadily intensify over the next several days. Irving reached Category 1 Typhoon status before making landfall that same day. Irving weakened considerably down to a Tropical Depression. Irving despite re-converging into water dissipated on July 26th. Irving caused $22 million in damages and killed 3 people.

Severe Tropical Storm Janice (Hilario)
A Tropical Depression spawned East of the Philippines before moving in a non-linear path Northward. It strengthened sufficiently to be named Janice, rapidly intensifying. Janice would peak as a Severe Tropical Storm before weakening due to cooler waters. It became Extratropical before hitting Japan. Overall damage was minimal and 6 deaths were recorded.

Super Typhoon Kurt
On July 20th, a Tropical Depression spawned off the coast of Indonesia. The young system intensified steadily over that day before being named. Shortly after recieving the name Kurt, it quickly became a Category 1 Typhoon. Kurt accelerated intensification further, quickly becoming a Super Typhoon, the 3rd of the season. It would sustain for a little while before weakening shortly before landfall in Malasia. It would weaken down to a Tropical Storm due to land interaction, However, Kurt would intensify back to a minimal Typhoon for a short time before weakening once again to to cooler Sea Surface Temperatures. It would brush Indonesia's other landform. It dissipated on August 3rd.

Typhoon Lauren (Isadora)
On July 24, a Tropical Depression formed a decent distance East of the Philippines. It strengthened as it went north before making an abrupt turn West. Lauren would reach Typhoon status not long later. Lauren would weaken to a Tropical Storm before making landfall in the Philippines. Lauren finally would dissipate over the islands on July 29th.

Tropical Storm Mateo
A Tropical Depression spawned off the Northern coasts of China on July 29. It would go East before making an erratic turn Northward. It would strengthen enough to receive the name Mateo West of South Korea. Mateo would finally strike North Korea as a Tropical Storm. Not long after, Mateo would dissipate into a Tropical Depression. Mateo would become unrecognizable in the Sea of Japan.

Tropical Depression 14F
A tropical system formed a small distance East of Vietnam. It would quickly develop into a Tropical Depression shortly before making landfall in Vietnam. It would soon degenerate into a wave before dying over Laos.

Typhoon Nina (Jasmine)
On August 8, a Tropical Depression spawned not far to the West of the International Dateline. The Depression would intensify and organize quickly, soon receiving the name Nina as a result. Intensification would continue steadily over the next several days. Intensification led to the classification of Typhoon. Strengthening would still continue up to landfall in the Philippines. Nina would weaken slightly before resuming intensification. Nina would soon peak as a Category 4 Typhoon near Vietnam. However, Nina would begin rapid weakening due to land interaction before making landfall in Vietnam as a Category 2 Typhoon. From there, Nina would dissipate after pushing itself into Laos on September 1st. Overall, damages and fatalities are unknown.

Tropical Storm Odell (Kokoy)
On August 13, a Tropical Depression formed and quickly developed a short distance East of the Philippines. This Depression would rapidly organized, soon to receive the name Odell (Kokoy). Odell would however weaken temporarily after moving North-Northwest near Taiwan. Odell abruptly changed direction to South then to West. Odell would strengthen again back to a Tropical Storm before making Landfall in China and therefore, dissipating. Damages amount to $176 million with 45 deaths.

Tropical Depression 17F
A Tropical Depression spawned on August 28 well to the South of Japan. It would move North, changing very little in intensity. A few days later, the weak Depression would turn Northeast and undergo an eventual Extratropical Transition. Seventeen would become unrecognizable on September 2 well to the East of Japan. The Depression did not make landfall, as a result causing no damage or fatalities.

Severe Tropical Storm Portia (Lorenzo)
A Tropical Depression formed on August 28 in the open Western Pacific Ocean. The Depression would begin to intensify as it moved West. Later on August 30, the young system would gain enough strength to receive the name Portia, with the Philippine name Lorenzo. Portia would begin to stall Northward a short distance from the Philippine Islands before resuming it's Westward track. Portia would make landfall with peak winds of 60 mph, and an intensity of 992 mbar. The storm would weaken due to land interaction. It re-entered the waters of the Philippine sea. Portia failed to strengthen back again, resulting in dissipation on September 9. Damages are currently unknown, 18 deaths were counted.

Super Typhoon Ron (Myrna)
A Tropical Depression would form a short distance from the International Dateline on August 31. The Depression began rapid intensification over favorable conditions, soon being named Ron. Ron began to accelerate to the West, strengthening quickly. Ron would soon become the 10th Typhoon of the season. Still strengthening, Ron entered Philippine area of responsibility, gaining the Philippine name of Myrna. Later on, Ron would gain Super Typhoon status. This would be the 5th Typhoon to do so this season. Ron barreled towards the Philippine Islands, maintaining Category 5 Super Typhoon status. Ron would reach an eventual peak of 135 mph, 899 mbar. Not soon after, Ron made landfall in the Philippine Island of Luzon, weakening down to Category 4 Status for the first time in 3 days. Ron re-entered waters of the Philippine sea, restrengthening to Category 5 Intensity. Ron would make a second landfall in Hong Kong as a Category 5 Super Typhoon. Due to land interaction, Ron would rapidly weaken as a result before turning Extratropical over Northern China. The Extratropical remnants of Ron would turn abruptly East and strike Japan before becoming unrecognizable on September 19.

Typhoon Shelby (Ningning)
A Tropical Depression formed South of China on September 1. It immediately began to intensify while moving North-Northeast. The system would be given the name Shelby, Philippine name Ningning the next day. Shelby would become a Typhoon, the 11th of the season, on September 4 with it's Southern eyewall over Taiwan. Shelby temporarily assumed a more Easterly track before making an abrupt turn North, becoming a Category 2 Typhoon not long after. Shelby went into a loop South of Japan. Midway through this process, Shelby peaked at Category 3 Typhoon status at 90 mph, 970 mbar. As a result of cooler Sea Surface Temperatures, Shelby weakened before making landfall in South Korea as a minimal Typhoon. Shelby would undergo an Extratropical transition in the Sea of Japan on September 12.

Super Typhoon Timothy (Olivia)
A Tropical Depression formed on September 15 well to the East of the Philippine Islands. It began to intensify quickly and was given the name Timothy. Still intensifying, Timothy was given the name Olivia by the PASAGA. Timothy became the 12th Typhoon of the season. The typhoon would slow down, still strengthening as it did so. Shortly after becoming the 5th Super Typhoon of the season, Timothy made an ubrupt turn due North. Timothy reached a peak intensity of 120 mph and 911 mbar shortly afterward. Starting to weaken profusely due to unfavorable conditions, The typhoon accelerated towards Japan. Timothy made landfall as a significant typhoon in Japan, on September 28. Finally, the now tropical storm would undergo an Extratropical transition in the Sea of Japan and would accelerate west before dissipation on September 30. Significant damages of $270 million were totaled in Japan in addition to 45 deaths.

Storm Names
Main Page: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/naming

The PAGASA and JTWC uses these names to name any tropical depression that enters the PAR area.

Farm River Meteorological Center
The FRMC also names storms that reached tropical storm intensity.

Auxiliary
Will be used once the main list gets exhausted. Two names, Wormadam and Ampharos crossed from the Central Pacific, and retained it's name.