2018 Philippine basin typhoon season

''Disclaimer: This is just a hypothetical live season which exclusive at Philippine Area of Responsibility, the place where local weather center tracks typhoons. not related to ongoing real Pacific typhoon season''

The 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season is a live season which takes place in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which is part of Western Pacific basin. This time, local Filipino names are assigned in use for the typhoons that will enter the area. It does not track areas outside of the PAR. The season will officially start at May 15, and will last through the end of the year.

Outlook
FARM RIVER METEOROLOGICAL CENTER PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK July 9, 2018 12:00 PM PHT

For the Philippine Area of Responsibility:

For the Philippine Area of Responsibility:

1. The area full of thunderstorms was spotted not too far away from Mindanao, which was associated with Denise. It's currently detaching from the ITCZ and may develop sooner to a fully tropical cyclone.

Formation chances within 48 hours...medium...60 percent Formation chances within 5 days...high...90 percent

2. Another invest was spotted by the Ryukyu Islands. Initial observations concluded that there are too much dry stable air for development, but we may see some little development within 5 days.

Formation chances within 48 hours...low...0 percent Formation chances within 5 days...low...10 percent

3. An invest associated with another organized invest was spotted by typhoon hunters east of Samar. Disorganized convection and wind shear may affect further development, and expected to remain at invest status.

Formation chances within 48 hours...low...10 percent Formation chances within 5 days...low...10 percent

4. The fourth and last of all, an area of investigation was spotted south of Yap island. It may develop sooner under favorable conditions, but not that quick. Gradual development is very likely.

Formation chances within 48 hours...low...15 percent Formation chances within 5 days...low...20 percent

~FORECASTER FARM The Lucarius Hurricane Center (LHC) has also issued the c as a weather model to showcase the model forecast for the active disturbances.Gary K Weather Center (GKWC) has also issued his own Wind Probability Models

Forecasters

 * Farm River - head forecaster
 * Brickcraft1
 * Bluetiger0824 - forecast cone maker.
 * GloriouslyBlonde - simulated storm image maker, head of recon.
 * No.1 Mobile - Co-forecaster.
 * KingLucarius - Forecaster, Wind Model Producer

Current Advisories
All advisories issued are found here: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/advisory archive

Super Typhoon Albert (Adarna)
A disturbance developed into a tropical depression on May 18 while located to the southeast of Zamboanga.undefinedIt gradually intensified and reached tropical storm status on the night of May 19 and named Albert by FRMC, and Adarna by PAGASA. It gradually intensified and became a strong typhoon, after entering the northwestern part of the South China Sea. On May 27, 16:00 HKT, Albert strengthened to a super typhoon, around 100 km south of Hong Kong. Recon data found winds of 205 km/h and pressure of 923 mbar. At 1:00 HKT, the next day the eye was approximately 20 km southwest of Hong Kong with the typhoon heading onto the mainland in a northerly direction. It transitioned to a post-tropical cyclone afterwards.

Hong Kong Observatory issued Hurricane Signal No. 10 due to the storm. It only caused few deaths in the main city, but the others were from other towns and Macao. The storm caused an estimated damage of $12 billion, making one of the most damaging typhoon in the basin. It also caused 295 deaths. In Philippines, many fishermen were stalled by the storm, but no deaths were reported. Rough waves were reported along coastline of Palawan.

Severe Tropical Storm Brianna (Bayani)
An area of low pressure was spotted east of Mindanao. On May 28, PAGASA declared it as tropical depression, naming "Bayani". Two days after it's formation, FRMC also issued an advisory on it, making it a tropical depression. It stalled and weakened a bit due to wind shear, but on June 4, it strengthened to a tropical storm and named Brianna, off the coast of Mindanao. However, it is only brief, as it weakens again. On June 6, FRMC issued it's last advisory on it, but next day, it regenerated and advisories were resumed. When it entered the Sulu Sea, conditions were favorable for further development, as it became more organized. It strengthened to a severe tropical storm, and made landfall in Palawan. Wind shear weakened the storm, and it was downgraded to a remnant low by June 14.

Typhoon Cyrus (Cielo)
Another disturbance was spotted east of Mindanao. Later it would strengthen and reached Tropical Storm status by June 11, prompting FRMC to give the name Cyrus, and Cielo by PAGASA. It gradually intensified, but it would able to intensify to a severe tropical storm and later a weak typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed the storm to further intensify, as it becoming more annular and deepening further. It reached super typhoon status south of Taiwan, prompting immediate evacuation. It further intensified to a Category 5, and reached it's peak intensity of 185 km/h and pressure of 928 mbar. However, it entered rapid cool waters and extremely high wind shear, allowing the storm to rapidly weaken and dissipate by June 20, never making any landfall except on islands of Batanes. Like Albert, the Hong Kong Observatory issued Gale Wind Signal No.8 due to the storm. It caused far less damage than Albert, but it still killed a lot and destroyed several homes, plus flash flooding in Hong Kong. It caused $728 million in damage and 43 deaths.

Storm Names
Main Page: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/naming

The PAGASA and JTWC uses these names to name any tropical depression that enters the PAR area.

Farm River Meteorological Center
The FRMC also names storms that reached tropical storm intensity.