2018 Philippine basin typhoon season

''Disclaimer: This is just a hypothetical live season which exclusive at Philippine Area of Responsibility, the place where local weather center tracks typhoons. not related to ongoing real Pacific typhoon season''

The 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season is a live season which takes place in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which is part of Western Pacific basin. This time, local Filipino names are assigned in use for the typhoons that will enter the area. It does not track areas outside of the PAR. The season will officially start at May 15, and will last through the end of the year.

Outlook


FARM RIVER METEOROLOGICAL CENTER PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK December 20, 2018 7:00 PM PHT

The system slightly organized due to decreasing wind shear, As it moves westward, chances of development is becoming more likely. The system though is expected to move towards Philippines and halt the development for a while. However, once it reaches the South China Sea, conditions are much more conductive. Formation chances within 48 hours...low...20 percent Formation chances within 5 days...medium...50 percent

~FORECASTER FARM

The Lucarius Hurricane Center (LHC) has also issued the c as a weather model to showcase the model forecast for the active disturbances.Gary K Weather Center (GKWC) has also issued his own Wind Probability Models

Main Forecasters

 * Farm River - head forecaster.
 * GloriouslyBlonde - simulated storm image maker, head of recon.
 * Charka123 - Model intensity guide maker.
 * KingLucarius - Forecaster, Article Description Producer

Occasional Forecasters

 * HurricaneBrick
 * Bluetiger0824
 * GaryKJR
 * No.1 Mobile

Current Advisories
All advisories issued are found here: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/advisory archive

Typhoon Henrietta
TYPHOON HENRIETTA FORECAST

INIT FORECAST VALID 12/21/2018 MAX WIND 140 KPH (10-MIN) 150 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  965 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 12/22/2018 MAX WIND 140 KPH (10-MIN) 150 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  968 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 12/23/2018 MAX WIND 120 KPH (10-MIN) 140 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  974 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 12/24/2018 MAX WIND 110 KPH (10-MIN) 120 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  982 MBAR.

FORECAST VALID 12/25/2018 MAX WIND 100 KPH (10-MIN) 100 KPH (1-MIN)...PRESSURE  987 MBAR. (EXTRATROPICAL)

Super Typhoon Albert (Adarna)
Main article: Super Typhoon Albert (2018)

A disturbance developed into a tropical depression on May 18 while located to the southeast of Zamboanga. It gradually intensified and reached tropical storm status on the night of May 19 and named Albert by FRMC, and Adarna by PAGASA. It gradually intensified and became a strong typhoon, after entering the northwestern part of the South China Sea. On May 27, 16:00 HKT, Albert strengthened to a super typhoon, around 100 km south of Hong Kong. Recon data found winds of 205 km/h and pressure of 923 mbar. At 1:00 HKT, the next day the eye was approximately 20 km southwest of Hong Kong with the typhoon heading onto the mainland in a northerly direction. It transitioned to a post-tropical cyclone afterwards. Hong Kong Observatory issued Hurricane Signal No. 10 due to the storm. It only caused few deaths in the main city, but the others were from other towns and Macao. The storm caused an estimated damage of $12 billion, making one of the most damaging typhoon in the basin. It also caused 295 deaths. In Philippines, many fishermen were stalled by the storm, but no deaths were reported. Rough waves were reported along coastline of Palawan.

Severe Tropical Storm Brianna (Bayani)
An area of low pressure was spotted east of Mindanao. On May 28, PAGASA declared it as tropical depression, naming "Bayani". Two days after it's formation, FRMC also issued an advisory on it, making it a tropical depression. It stalled and weakened a bit due to wind shear, but on June 4, it strengthened to a tropical storm and named Brianna, off the coast of Mindanao. However, it is only brief, as it weakens again. On June 6, FRMC issued it's last advisory on it, but next day, it regenerated and advisories were resumed. When it entered the Sulu Sea, conditions were favorable for further development, as it became more organized. It strengthened to a severe tropical storm, and made landfall in Palawan. Wind shear weakened the storm, and it was downgraded to a remnant low by June 14.

Typhoon Cyrus (Cielo)
Another disturbance was spotted east of Mindanao. Later it would strengthen and reached Tropical Storm status by June 11, prompting FRMC to give the name Cyrus, and Cielo by PAGASA. It gradually intensified, but it would able to intensify to a severe tropical storm and later a weak typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed the storm to further intensify, as it becoming more annular and deepening further. It reached super typhoon status south of Taiwan, prompting immediate evacuation. It further intensified to a Category 5, and reached it's peak intensity of 185 km/h and pressure of 928 mbar. However, it entered rapid cool waters and extremely high wind shear, allowing the storm to rapidly weaken and dissipate by June 20, never making any landfall except on islands of Batanes. Like Albert, the Hong Kong Observatory issued Gale Wind Signal No.8 due to the storm. It caused far less damage than Albert, but it still killed a lot and destroyed several homes, plus flash flooding in Hong Kong. It caused $728 million in damage and 43 deaths.

Super Typhoon Denise (Danilo)
A disturbance formed well East of the Philippines. It organized before being classified as a Tropical Depression. However, it wasn't long before it was named Tropical Storm Denise. Denise began gradual intensification as she neared the Philippines. It went through fluctuation between Category 2 and 3 as Denise moved through the islands, still continuing to strengthen. Denise reached Category 4 status in the Sulu Sea, prompting a Signal No.4 watch in certain areas. It finally reached Category 5 Super Typhoon strength before making landfall in Palawan. It wasn't long before Denise started to weaken. Denise finally level out, sustaining Category 1 Typhoon level winds up until landfall. Denise started to rapidly dissipate after landfall. On July 16, Denise was announced to have fully dissipated. Denise did over $250 million in damage and killed almost 200, mostly in Central Philippines (mostly Cebu and Bohol).

Tropical Storm Ernie
A disturbance formed south of Hainan Island. On June 27 was designated a tropical depression. Not long after, the storm strengthened sufficiently to receive the name Ernie. It would slowly move eastward before making landfall. The interaction with land weakened the storm back down to tropical depression status. The storm failed to restrengthen, moving west-northwest at very high speeds over the next few days. Ernie brushed Southern Taiwan but overall effects were minimal. It dissipated well west of Taiwan on July 3.

Typhoon Francine
A low pressure area formed near Guam. Initial observations made the low stay at its current state. However, on July 4, conditions began to increase favorability for development, and the system was named Francine. Francine stalled for a bit but it resumed it strengthening period where it become a typhoon. It began a period of rapid deepening, where Francine reached high-end Category 4 strength with 175 kph (10-min) winds, closing into super typhoon status. Francine maintained it's strength for hours before weakening again, mostly due to eyewall replacement cycle, and began to accelerate east. Francine turned extratropical around July 23, and was absorbed later on.

Tropical Storm Gerald (Erning)
On July 7, a tropical depression formed west of the Philippine Islands. The depression moved over the islands, sustaining winds as it headed North. The depression was named Gerald. When it moved north of the Philippines, Gerald strengthened marginally as it curved west towards China. It finally made landfall before dissipating on July 14. Gerald dealt minimal damage and no lives were lost. It still enhanced the monsoon, causing minimal rains.

Typhoon Hope (Fernan)
On July 8 a tropical depression formed a short distance East of the Philippine Islands. It quickly intensified into Tropical Storm Hope. Hope began to rapidly intensify, as it reached typhoon status. Hope finally peaked at Category 3 typhoon status, having a bit disorganized structure as it stalls down. Despite this it weakened considerably down to a Category 2 typhoon before making it's first landfall. It weakened down to a tropical storm as it emerged into the South China Sea, allowing it to restrengthen back to a Category 1 typhoon. Hope made its final landfall in Hainan, in China, as a typhoon, dissipating rapidly. Hope dealt 78 million in damages and killed 34.

Typhoon Irving (Gemma)
A tropical depression formed well east of the Philippine Islands. It intensified at a moderate rate, becoming Tropical Storm Irving. Irving continued to steadily intensify over the next several days. Irving reached Category 1 typhoon status before making landfall that same day. Irving weakened considerably down to a tropical depression. Irving despite re-converging into water dissipated on July 26. Irving caused $22 million in damages and killed 3 people.

Severe Tropical Storm Janice (Hilario)
A low pressure area northeast of the Philippines before moving in a non-linear path northward. It strengthened sufficiently to be named Janice, rapidly intensifying. Janice would peak as a severe tropical storm before weakening due to cooler waters. It became extratropical before hitting Japan. Overall damage was minimal and 6 deaths were recorded. It brought the Japanese drought an end but floods then affected a lot of villages.

Super Typhoon Kurt
On July 20, a tropical depression spawned off the coast of Indonesia. The young system intensified steadily over that day before being named. Shortly after receiving the name Kurt, it quickly became a Category 1 typhoon. Kurt accelerated intensification further, quickly becoming a super typhoon, the 3rd of the season. It would sustain for a little while before weakening shortly before landfall in Malaysia. It would weaken down to a tropical storm due to land interaction as it enters the Indian Ocean. However, Kurt would intensify back to a minimal Typhoon for a short time before weakening once again to cooler surface temperatures. It would brush Sumatra, Indonesia as a weakening cyclone before dissipating in the Bay of Bengal. Kurt caused extensive damage across the Malay Archipelago, amounting to $4 billion USD.

Typhoon Lauren (Isadora)
On July 24, a tropical depression formed from a low pressure area near Palau. It strengthened as it went north before making an abrupt turn west. Lauren would reach typhoon status not long later. Lauren would weaken to a tropical storm due to high wind shear, before making landfall in the Philippines. Lauren dissipated over the islands on July 29. The system caused minimal impacts in the country.

Tropical Storm Mateo
A non-tropical low spawned off the coast of Shandong, China on July 29. It would eastward before making an erratic turn northward. It gained some tropical characteristics and classified as a subtropical storm, receiving the name Mateo. Mateo gained full tropical characteristics and became a tropical storm. Not long after, Mateo made landfall in North Korea and turned extratropical afterwards.

Tropical Depression 14F
A tropical system formed a small distance east of Vietnam. It would quickly develop into a Tropical Depression shortly before making landfall in Vietnam. It would soon degenerate into a wave before dying over Laos. The depression caused floods in the region causing agricultural damage.

Typhoon Nina (Jasmine)
On August 8, a tropical depression spawned in the deep tropics in the Pacific Ocean. FRMC designated the system as a tropical storm then and received the name "Nina". The storm moved slowly and it took several days before an eye popped, making it a typhoon. It intensified gradually and made it's initial peak at Category 3 intensity before making landfall in Central Philippines. It emerged in the South China Sea and it would raply intensify to a Category 4 typhoon, showing annular characteristics. Nina then peaked winds of 175 km/hr before making landfall in Central Vietnam, and the landmass severely deteriorated Nina's structure. Nina weakened further and dissipated as September starts.

Tropical Storm Odell (Kokoy)
On August 13, a tropical depression formed and quickly developed a short distance east of Visayas region. This depression rapidly organized, and the FRMC designated it as a tropical storm. Odell would however weaken temporarily after moving north-northwest near Taiwan. Odell abruptly changed direction to south then to west due to a ridge. Odell would strengthen again back to a tropical storm before making landfall in China and therefore, dissipating. Damages amount to $176 million with 45 deaths.

Tropical Depression 17F
A tropical depression spawned on August 28 well to the South of Japan. It moved north, changing very little in intensity. A few days later, the weak depression turned northeast and undergo an eventual extratropical transition. 17F would become unrecognizable on September 2, well to the east of Japan. The depression did not make landfall, as a result causing no damage or fatalities.

Severe Tropical Storm Portia (Lorenzo)
A tropical depression formed on August 28 in the open western Pacific Ocean. The depression moved westward as it intensifies. Later on August 30, the system would gain enough strength to for FRMC to classify it as a tropical storm. Portia stalled northward a short distance from the Philippine Islands before resuming it's westward track. Portia strengthened to a severe tropical storm before making landfall. The storm then weakened due to land interaction. It re-entered the South China Sea. Portia failed to strengthen back again, resulting in dissipation on September 9. Damages are currently unknown, 18 deaths were counted.

Super Typhoon Ron (Myrna)
Main article: Super Typhoon Ron

A tropical depression formed in the deep Pacific Ocean on August 31. The system gained enough organization for FRMC to classify it to a tropical storm, receiving the name "Ron". Ron moved westward and intensified to a typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed it to intensify rapidly, as it reached super typhoon in just 36 hours. Ron started to deepen as it forms a clear eye. Ron peaked with winds of 220 km/hr (10-minute) and pressure of 899 millibar. It made landfall in southern Luzon as a Category 5, causing extensive damage. It weakened but managed to restrengthen in the South China Sea before making landfall in Hainan. It weakened significantly but it turned into a strong, extratropical storm which would later affect East Asia. Ron was eventually absorbed by a larger extratropical system. Ron is one of the costliest Philippine typhoons on record, causing ₱50.6 billion ($965 million USD) in the Philippines alone. Ron also caused 100 deaths in the country as NDRRMC reported. In China, damage was amounted to $1.2 billion mostly in Hainan. Damage was also extensive in Japan and Korea, where total of $767 million damage reported in those countries.

Typhoon Shelby (Ningning)
An area of low pressure was spotted southeast of China. The low moved slowly and eventually it developed to a tropical storm. The FMRC designated it as "Shelby". Shelby made landfall in Taiwan but it strengthened to a typhoon. It gained strength but later it peaked as a Category 3 before abruptly turning southwestward and making a loop, mainly due to interaction with Ron. Shelby then moved at a rapid rate and eventually made landfall south of Seoul on September 10, before eventually turning extratropical. The typhoon caused minimal damages across the East Asia and it caused 35 deaths, most are in Taiwan and Korea.

Super Typhoon Timothy (Olivia)
A tropical depression formed on September 15 near the Marianas Islands. It began to intensify quickly and was given the name Timothy by FRMC. Still intensifying, Timothy was given the name Olivia by the PASAGA. Timothy became the 12th typhoon of the season. The typhoon would slow down, still strengthening as it did so. Shortly after becoming the fifth super typhoon of the season, Timothy made an abrupt turn due north. Timothy reached a peak intensity of 195 km/.hr and 911 mbar shortly afterwards. Starting to weaken profusely due to unfavorable conditions, the typhoon accelerated towards Japan. Timothy made landfall as a weak typhoon in Japan on September 28. Finally, the now tropical storm would undergo an extratropical transition in the Sea of Japan and would accelerate west before dissipation on September 30. Damages of $270 million were totaled in Japan in addition to 45 deaths.

Super Typhoon Victoria (Precy)
On September 18, another tropical depression formed a short distance to the west of the International Date Line. It wasn't long before it was given the name Victoria due to organization. Victoria would continue to move generally west-northwest while gradually intensifying. Continuing on this path, the strong storm achieved typhoon and later super typhoon status, becoming the second straight to achieve this. It was not long before Victoria reached a peak intensity of 185 km/hr mph and 922 mbar. However, due to increasingly unfavorable conditions, Victoria began to weaken profusely. After weakening to Category 2 typhoon status, Victoria changed direction towards the north, causing damages to the Ryukyu Islands of Japan. Victoria accelerated passing near Japan and making landfall in South Korea as a minimal typhoon. Continuing to weaken the extratropical remnants slammed into the Russian Far East. On October 1, Victoria dissipated. Victoria was attributed to 16 fatalities and $165 million in damages.

Tropical Storm Wilson
A tropical low suddenly developed to a tropical storm on September 24. The system becomes a weak tropical storm and peaked as it is. Receiving the name Wilson, it moved slowly before making landfall in China, and it quickly dissipated in the Chinese mainland. Wilson caused 4 fatalities but the damage remained minimal.

Typhoon Antony (Quising)
A low pressure area formed in the Pacific Ocean and intensified to a tropical depression on September 26. It received the name "Antony" as it intensified to a tropical storm. It maintained strength for a while before becoming a typhoon. Antony eventually peaked with wind speed of 140 km/hr before encountering an eyewall replacement cycle. It eventually made landfall in Taiwan as a Category 1, weakening to a tropical storm. It weakened further and it dissipated on October 6. Antony caused heavy damage in Taiwan along with 16 deaths reported. The storm also caused monsoon rains in the Philippines.

Super Typhoon Wormadam
On October 2, the FRMC reported that Hurricane Wormadam from the Central Pacific basin had crossed the International Date Line and entered the West Pacific basin, making it a super typhoon. At Category 5 strength, Wormadam maintained intensity for several days with it's compact structure. Wormadam eventually started to weaken due to several eyewall replacement cycles and increasing wind shear. The system weakened to a typhoon and it started to move north, along with it's extratropical transition. Wormadam entered an area with extremely high vertical wind shear and it weakened further to a tropical storm. Eventually, Wormadam turned extratropical and was absorbed west of Aleutian Islands on October 13. Wormadam caused no impact on land.

Tropical Storm Bianca (Rolando)
A tropical depression formed in October 6 and it strengthened to a tropical storm a day later. It was named Bianca by FRMC. It later grow up to become a large disorganized tropical storm covering almost the size of Visayas and Mindanao combined. Bianca would later decay in shear and it eventually dissipated as it made landfall in Visayas region. Damage is minimal and no deaths are reported in the region. The remnants of Bianca would later develop into Carson.

Typhoon Carson (Susan)
A stalling low pressure area associated with Bianca began to gain organization and it was designated as a tropical depression in Sulu Sea, on October 11. It moved northwestward at slow rate and it eventually intensified to a tropical storm. The storm emerged in the South China Sea and conditions started to become conductive for rapid intensification. Carson strengthened to a typhoon on October 15 and it rapidly intensified to a Category 4 typhoon. It maintained strength for few days before making landfall in Vietnam at peak intensity. Carsob eventually dissipated sooner. Carson caused $135 million USD in damages and 79 deaths.

Severe Tropical Storm Deanna
A low pressure area is spotted near Marianas Islands. it later developed into Tropical Storm Deanna on October 31. Deanna moved northward while moving in an area with warm waters, allowing it to gain severe tropical storm status. Eventually, it entered an area with high amount of shear, thus conditions are not conductive for further strengthening. Deanna weakened and eventually it turned extratropical on November 6.

Typhoon Ampharos
The FRMC reported that Ampharos had crossed from Central Pacific to the West Pacific basin, on November 2. Ampharos then reached it's peak intensity in this basin before slowly weakening. Ampharos moved westward as it enteres an area with moderate shear. It eventually restrengthened for some time and it made an abrupt turn northeastward as it begins extratropical transition. Ampharos reentered the Central Pacific for a very short time before turning extratropical on November 11.

Super Typhoon Ervin (Tomas)
A compact disorganized cluster of thunderstorms were spotted in the Philippine Sea. Later it would gain organization and eventually became a tropical depression on November 6. It later strengthened to a tropical storm and named Ervin, and later Tomas by PAGASA. Ervin moved westward until it started to intensify as it steered north. Ervin later entered an area of favorable conditions, allowing it to intensify further and become the strongest typhoon of the season. The storm attained maximum sustained winds of 220 km/hr. Ervin maintained intensity for few days before started to weaken. It accelerated northeast and it turned extratropical on November 17. Ervin did not cause any impact as it never affected any landmass, despite the intensity.

Storm Names
Main Page: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/naming

The PAGASA and JTWC uses these names to name any tropical depression that enters the PAR area.

Farm River Meteorological Center
The FRMC also names storms that reached tropical storm intensity.

Auxiliary
Will be used once the main list gets exhausted. Two names, Wormadam and Ampharos crossed from the Central Pacific, and retained it's name.