Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki:Chat/Logs/20 April 2016

 [2016-04-19 23:58:09] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Cool [2016-04-19 23:58:16] &lt;Hypercane&gt; That would be useful.. [2016-04-19 23:58:18] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :P [2016-04-19 23:58:19] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; Special:ChatBanList. :) [2016-04-19 23:59:31] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Cool [2016-04-19 23:59:48] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; (y) [2016-04-20 00:00:18] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; The CMC model, which previously forecast Nkech to reacquire C4 intensity, is now showing Nkechinyer failing to pass SS intensity :/ [2016-04-20 00:00:27] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:00:31] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:01:39] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; Yep [2016-04-20 00:01:48] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; I think Nkech will remain at SS or possibly TS [2016-04-20 00:01:53] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; Definately not C1 [2016-04-20 00:02:06] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; He's blacklisted for the moment. [2016-04-20 00:02:12] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; (as far as I know) [2016-04-20 00:02:18] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; As he deserves to be. [2016-04-20 00:02:19] -!- StrawberryMaster has left Special:Chat. [2016-04-20 00:02:33] -!- StrawberryMaster has joined Special:Chat. [2016-04-20 00:02:46] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:02:57] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:03:08] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; I hope I have a sub in second period again tomorrow [2016-04-20 00:03:12] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:03:14] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; If so, I'm getting on HHW :p [2016-04-20 00:03:19] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; Yay! [2016-04-20 00:03:21] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; xD [2016-04-20 00:03:46] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; I hate subs that sneak up on you and look at what you are doing. :/ [2016-04-20 00:04:03] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Luckily my sub today didn't care what the students did :p [2016-04-20 00:04:06] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:04:12] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:04:18] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :P [2016-04-20 00:04:42] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; And I got to see Bittersweet sock. :/ [2016-04-20 00:04:46] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:05:26] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Layten still thinks that low near the Azores may become Bonnie (facepalm) [2016-04-20 00:05:35] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; (facepalm) [2016-04-20 00:06:04] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; Layten at least believes we can get storms from lows, unlike Nkech. [2016-04-20 00:06:17] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:06:59] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Nkech needs to learn to respect the opinions of others. Some of us just don't like Bernie Sanders. [2016-04-20 00:07:39] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:07:41] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; [img="www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2016041906/cfs-mon_01_ssta_atl_4.png"] [2016-04-20 00:07:44] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; +AMO :D [2016-04-20 00:07:50] &lt;Hypercane&gt; YAY [2016-04-20 00:07:51] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; Yep... I lied to him today about liking Clinton just so he would stop talking about Sanders. [2016-04-20 00:07:52] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :d [2016-04-20 00:07:56] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; @Bob YAY :D [2016-04-20 00:07:58] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Look at that warm water near the MDR [2016-04-20 00:07:59] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :D * [2016-04-20 00:08:02] &lt;Hypercane&gt; lag [2016-04-20 00:08:15] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; That cool bit of water near Cape Verde though [2016-04-20 00:08:16] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; ;( [2016-04-20 00:08:20] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; [img="www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2016041906/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_atl_4.png"] [2016-04-20 00:08:29] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; One spot of -0.5C water hopefully won't kill the season :p [2016-04-20 00:08:35] &lt;Hypercane&gt; ^ [2016-04-20 00:08:47] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:08:55] &lt;AGirlCalledKeranique&gt; If the entire Cape-Verde or Caribbean/Gulf was cold, then we would have practically no hurricanes [2016-04-20 00:08:57] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Vertical instability is also increasing [2016-04-20 00:08:58] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :P [2016-04-20 00:09:15] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; This setup would likely make the 2016 season just like my prediction :p [2016-04-20 00:09:16] &lt;Hypercane&gt; La Nina needs to peak at -3.9C [2016-04-20 00:09:18] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :P [2016-04-20 00:09:29] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Yeah :p [2016-04-20 00:09:32] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:09:39] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; We are now in a Very Weak El Nino :p [2016-04-20 00:09:41] &lt;Hypercane&gt; that would be Very Strong then right? [2016-04-20 00:09:44] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Yes [2016-04-20 00:09:48] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :) [2016-04-20 00:09:56] &lt;Hypercane&gt; yay [2016-04-20 00:10:02] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; We should be at neutral next month. I don't see why not. [2016-04-20 00:10:11] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; Agreed ^ [2016-04-20 00:10:17] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; #Neutrality [2016-04-20 00:10:21] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :P [2016-04-20 00:10:23] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; And then in July we should have at least Weak La Nina conditions [2016-04-20 00:10:31] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Nkech: it will turn El Nino again [2016-04-20 00:10:32] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :D [2016-04-20 00:10:36] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:10:41] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; pls [2016-04-20 00:10:43] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; The question is, will it stay a Weak Nina, or will it plunge further? [2016-04-20 00:10:48] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; The ECMWF says a Weak Nina [2016-04-20 00:11:48] &lt;Hypercane&gt; I want it to be at least a Moderate La Niña... [2016-04-20 00:11:51] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; ^ [2016-04-20 00:11:54] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; ^ [2016-04-20 00:12:02] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; ^ [2016-04-20 00:12:14] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; I read somewhere though that a Strong La Nina suppresses Atlantic activity, don't remember where, but it may have been a mistake. [2016-04-20 00:12:35] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Wow... [2016-04-20 00:12:35] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:12:40] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; I'll be fine with a weak or moderate Nina [2016-04-20 00:12:49] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Well too much of anything is bad. [2016-04-20 00:12:50] &lt;Hypercane&gt; so meh [2016-04-20 00:12:52] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Just enough to kill the shear. :p [2016-04-20 00:13:02] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:13:07] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :P [2016-04-20 00:13:26] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Omg what if it became a "Very Strong La Niña"? [2016-04-20 00:13:29] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; I believe the MDR could warm up like it did in 2015 - and if if it does - we should get at least a 15 named storm season. [2016-04-20 00:13:39] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :D [2016-04-20 00:13:42] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :d [2016-04-20 00:13:53] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Last season, everyone said the same thing - cold MDR, cold MDR, cold MDR - that did not happen. [2016-04-20 00:14:04] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:14:08] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; And we got a near average season almost. [2016-04-20 00:14:16] &lt;Hypercane&gt; ^ [2016-04-20 00:14:39] &lt;Hypercane&gt; But I want to know if Bob would be happy with a "Very Strong La Niña". [2016-04-20 00:14:41] -!- StrawberryMaster has left Special:Chat. [2016-04-20 00:14:51] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; !tell El_Niño You killed the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season (mad) [2016-04-20 00:14:51] &lt;Hypercane Bot&gt; Sassmaster15: I will tell El Niño your message the next time I see them. [2016-04-20 00:15:12] &lt;Hypercane&gt; *dumps a bunch of ice in the Nino regions* [2016-04-20 00:15:12] -!- StrawberryMaster has joined Special:Chat. [2016-04-20 00:15:21] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Freeze Pacific Freeze! [2016-04-20 00:15:24] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; 2015 was definitely a step in the right direction. It was more active than 1997, which was during the "active era" and had a "warm AMO" [2016-04-20 00:15:24] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :P [2016-04-20 00:15:24] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; ^^ [2016-04-20 00:15:39] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; This active era likely isn't over [2016-04-20 00:15:42] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; ^ [2016-04-20 00:16:01] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; 2013 was a fluke, 2014 and 2015 were suppressed by El N by El Nino. [2016-04-20 00:16:08] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; *suppressed by El Nino [2016-04-20 00:16:21] &lt;Hypercane&gt; 1997 was the year I was born..and the Atlantic was terrible from what I heard.. [2016-04-20 00:16:26] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Yep [2016-04-20 00:16:34] &lt;Hypercane&gt; But yet the WPAC had like 10 C5s [2016-04-20 00:16:36] &lt;Hypercane&gt; ....\ [2016-04-20 00:16:37] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:16:38] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:16:39] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; I was born in a decent Atlantic season :p [2016-04-20 00:16:42] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; 14-10-3 [2016-04-20 00:16:45] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:16:51] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:17:06] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; 1995. &lt;3 [2016-04-20 00:17:10] &lt;Hypercane&gt; I still cannot believe I was born in a WPac season with at least 10 C5s [2016-04-20 00:17:14] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :/ [2016-04-20 00:17:16] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; 1995: The beginning of an era :) [2016-04-20 00:17:20] &lt;Sassmaster15&gt; :) [2016-04-20 00:17:29] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Bob [2016-04-20 00:17:32] &lt;Bobnekaro&gt; Yes? [2016-04-20 00:17:34] &lt;StrawberryMaster&gt; :p [2016-04-20 00:17:40] &lt;Hypercane&gt; Thoughts on the 1997 Pacific typhoon season? [2016-04-20 00:17:41] &lt;Hypercane&gt; :P