Hurricane Blas (2016-prediction)

Hurricane Agatha was the second named storm, second hurricane, and first major hurricane of the 2016 Pacific hurricane season. It was the latest first named storm in the East Pacific basin since reliable records began (although Hurricane Pali formed in the central Pacific in January), forming on July 3. Agatha became a hurricane on July 5 and acquired its peak intensity two days later as a category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph.

Meteorological History
On June 28, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) began monitoring a tropical wave for possible tropical cyclogenesis as it entered the East Pacific. On July 1, an area of low pressure developed, consolidating into a tropical depression two days later. 18 hours after becoming a depression, Tropical Depression Two-E was upgraded to Tropical Storm Agatha early on July 4. Due to low wind shear and warm waters of 86-88 degrees Fahrenheit, Agatha began to intensify. On July 5, Agatha intensified into a category 1 hurricane. Steady intensification ensued thereafter, and Agatha intensified to a peak intensity as a category 4 hurricane early on July 7 with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph. Due to cooler waters, Agatha began rapidly weakening after peak, being downgraded to a tropical storm by July 9. On July 10, Agatha dissipated as it entered cool waters and no longer had persistent deep convection. Agatha caused one indirect fatality from a swimmer off the coast of Mexico.