Hurricane Matthew (2016-Bob's Prediction)

Hurricane Matthew was the thirteenth named storm, fifth hurricane, and second and final major hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. Matthew formed east of the Windward Islands from a large tropical wave late on September 28.

Meteorological History
On September 22, the National Hurricane Center began monitoring a tropical wave in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic for possible tropical development as it moved westward over the coming days. Over the next several days, the wave gradually improved in organization, although it was too close to the equator to acquire sufficient spin to become a tropical depression. By September 25, the wave began to develop some spiral banding features. On September 27, an Air Force reconnaissance mission investigated the wave but did not find a well-defined circulation. The next day, however, they found a well-defined circulation as the wave was located east of the Windward Islands, and the NHC initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen at 21:00 UTC on September 28. After a ship reported tropical storm force winds, the depression was upgraded to Tropical Storm Matthew 6 hours later. Matthew gradually improved in organization, strengthening into a hurricane by September 30. On October 2, Matthew reached its peak intensity as a category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph. Matthew weakened slightly before it made landfall in Haita as a category 3 major hurricane. Matthew caused 52 deaths in the country, the other 4 deaths were in the Dominician Republic. Matthew then weakened over the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola, weakening to a tropical storm by late on October 3. On October 4, Matthew restrengthened into a hurricane and reached a secondary peak intensity with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph. However, cooling sea surface temperatures resulted in Matthew transitioning into an extratropical cyclone on October 5.