Talk:2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season (Live- Official Prediction from Nkechinyer)/@comment-26971007-20170203144312

Another recon flight from BNWC passed through the center of Alberto this morning. Here's what they found:

Maximum flight-level winds: 55 kt

Maximum SFMR winds: 49 kt

Uncontaminaed estimated 1-minute surface wind: 48 kt

Minimum central pressure (extrapolated): 996 mb from a dropsonde

COMMENTS: ...ALBERTO STILL APPEARS TO BE A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS SLIGHTLY MORE TROPICAL THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY. CLOUD TOPS WARMED EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION DURING THE PAST COUPLE HOURS. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS MOSTLY EXPOSED TO VIEW WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. INTENSIFICATION WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED TODAY DUE TO UPWELLING AND THE GRADUAL TROPICAL TRANSITION, AND SOME WEAKENING IS EVEN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, IF TROPICAL TRANSITION OCCURS, SOME INTENSIFICATION MAG TAKE PLACE TOMORROW...