User blog:VileMaster/Garfield's 2017 Atlantic Forecast - May

Well. Things sure have changed a lot since January. Let's get straight to the point. The GIHC predicts an overall above normal hurricane season. These are the predictions:

13-18 named storms

6-10 hurricanes

2-5 major hurricanes

Let's speak about why I make this prediction So be prepared this year. There is a highly likely chance of a significant storm this year. Maybe even two or three...
 * The El Nino event has failed to develop despite models forecasting a full-blown el nino by this point, and it is still struggling.
 * A majority of forecast models show very favorable conditions across the atlantic for pretty much the whole season, including July.
 * The only reliable forecast model still showing el nino is the ECMWF, which keep in mind has a warm bias.
 * The top analogs for 2017 include 1996 and 2005, which were highly above average in their own aspects.