User blog:Sassmaster15/What will this year's Atlantic hurricane season bring?

Hello all!

Today we will be discussing Tropical Storm Danielle and a few other things regarding this year's Atlantic hurricane season.

Danielle...
As you all know, Tropical Storm Danielle recently formed this morning in the Bay of Campeche. Regarding the date of Danielle's formation, this made it the earliest forming "D" storm in the Atlantic, beating the record previously set by Tropical Storm Debby in 2012 by three days.

In addition to that, we have already had one hurricane and two other tropical storms, having given us a very active start to this year's hurricane season. But, what is the outlook for the rest of this hurricane season? Could we see Earl before July? Will Earl even have a chance at hurricane status?

Tropical Outlook
You may already noticed that the GFS model forecasts Earl by the end of June. I acknowledge that this is a long-range prediction that has an unlikely chance of occurring, but I do think Earl is a strong possibility that has a very high chance of occurring before June is through. According to the GFS model, a tropical system could develop in the Western Caribbean by June 29, eventually tracking into the Gulf of Mexico, where it could eventually be named Earl. There is also a strong possibility Earl could make landfall in northern Florida/the Florida panhandle as a minimal hurricane (NOTE: Tropical Storm Colin started off in a similar fashion, and Earl could very much be exactly like Colin, though the chance of this happening is unlikely).

In addition to Earl, models develop another system in the Caribbean into July, which may very well be Fiona (this is very long-range, and we will have to see what happens as July approaches).

With these sudden developments, what do you think the Atlantic has in store for us down the road? Do you think the GFS model is accurate with Earl's formation and development? What are your new forecasts for this season (including Alex-Danielle)?

That's all for now!

Sassmaster15 (talk) 22:11, June 20, 2016 (UTC)