User blog:Hurricane Layten/2017 Atlantic hurricane season forecasts

OK, so it might seem a bit early to do this, but nevermind, an updated forecast can be issued at a later date if needed.

So, the climatoligical phenomenan known as la nina is now weakening according to the latest SOI values and various forecasting agencies. There seems to be a wide margin of spread in the el nino models though, with with some showing a la nina present for this years hurricane season, whilst others show neutral, and a few somehow show el nino making a sudden return. What exactly happens with the hurricane season depends on what conditions are present over the Pacific forthe hurricane season.

Based on the current models, it would seem that this yearwill be enso neutral, so ill take it that way and issue a forecast based on that for now. A slightly above season is expected as a reult of this, with 15 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes expected to develop from me.

Next forecast, if needed, will be in May.