Talk:Tropical Storm Colin (2016-Possible Scenario)/@comment-26971007-20160602103200

Well, we are starting to have some indications that this storm may be stronger than 65 mph. Intensification will likely be limited until after it hits Florida. But after hitting Florida it will enter an area with warm waters and low shear due to the Gulf Stream. At that point, the ECMWF takes this storm down to 990 mbar, which could be borderline hurricane strength. CMC and NAVGEM also show this storm nearly a hurricane. GFS also takes it down to 998 mbar, which is likely not a hurricane. Still only a 20% chance of development but I'd be surprised to see the chances not increased today.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016060200/ecmwf_z500_mslp_atl_7.png