User blog:Hurricane Layten/94E may just be a depression...

Looking at the latest satellite imagery, 94E looks as though it has achieved tropical depression status...i have a bad feeling about this one...

Carlos-to-be has the potential to undergo rapid deepening if it can develop by the next update, due to high water temperatures...Mexico may be in for their first hurricane of the season if my bad feeling proves correct...convection very well organized, and I think the cyclone, if it does develop, will reach peak winds of at least 50 mph if rapid deepening doesn't occur...if it does, then I think 85 mph may be possible, if quick enough...

The NHC has given the system a high...70%, chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours, and a high...90%, chance of doing so within the next 5 days...though if development does happen, it would be over the mountains of Mexico by then...

Personally, I would say, using Dvorak satellite imagery, that it is already Tropical Depression 03E, with the latest imagery making me arrive at a value of T1.5...indicative of 29 mph winds, a tropical depression on the SSHWS

Invest_94E_10-06-2015-0900-UTC.png|thumb|Tropical Disturbance 94E latest satellite imagery, showing well organized structures, typical of a tropical cyclone...