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If you're new to the usercane concept, check this blog if you want to see how usercanes work: How Usercanes Actually Work.

2019 Atlantic usercane season
2019 Atl usercane season summary
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formedJanuary 14, 2019
Last system dissipatedSeason ongoing
Strongest storm
NameTuba
 • Maximum winds65 mph (100 km/h)
(1-minute sustained)
 • Lowest pressure993 mbar (hPa; 29.32 inHg)
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions13
Total storms10
Hurricanes0
Major hurricanes
(Cat. 3+)
0
Total fatalitiesUnknown
Total damageUnknown
Atlantic hurricane seasons
2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021


The 2019 Atlantic usercane season is an ongoing event in the formation of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic. The season officially began on January 1, 2019, and will end on December 31, 2019. These dates historically describe the period each year when most tropical usercyclones form in the Atlantic basin and are adopted by convention. The season's first storm, Tropical Userstorm Tuba, developed on January 14.

Seasonal forecasts

Predictions of tropical activity in the 2019 Atlantic usercane season
Source Date Named
userstorms
Usercanes Major
usercanes
Average (2010–2018) 20 9 4
Record high activity 45 21 14
Record low activity 4 2 1
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
CMA January 1, 2019 28 6 2
PWS January 1, 2019 25-35 3-6 1-3
BNWC/NUC January 1, 2019 27-32 4-7 2-4
HWC January 1, 2019 30-34 3-6 1-2
DHC January 1, 2019 64 6 4
AHHC January 1, 2019 40 5 3
WHC January 1, 2019 35-45 4-6 1-2
MCHWS January 1, 2019 26-32 5-8 1-3
FMC January 2, 2019 27-36 3-7 1-4
SDTWFC January 2, 2019 29-33 5-6 1-2
OSMC January 2, 2019 35-42 4-6 1-3
RMA January 2, 2019 24-28 4-6 1-2
XCQ January 3, 2019 15-25 2-5 1
KWC January 3, 2019 29-37 3-6 1-2
LCA January 3, 2019 30-40 1-5 0-1
TGMC January 5, 2019 35-40 4-6 0-2
MWHA January 11, 2019 29-34 2-6 1-3
IMD January 14, 2019 27-36 1-6 0-2
HLMA January 17, 2019 33-39 4-9 0-3
FRMC January 20, 2019 25-35 3-7 0-2
CSHC January 26, 2019 34-40 3-6 1-2
SHMC January 30, 2019 38-43 5-8 1-3
CGFC February 4, 2019 25-30 3-6 1-2
TDKNCC February 22, 2019 36-44 5-7 1-3
LTWC March 1, 2019 18-30 3-6 1-2
HHC May 9, 2019 36-40 8-14 3-5
BNWC/NUC May 9, 2019 27-32 2-4 1-2
MSFA June 21, 2019 16-25 0-3 0-1
DUWS June 25, 2019 23-40 9-16 2-9

–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––

Actual activity
10 0 0

Ahead of and during the season, several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many named userstorms, usercanes, and major usercanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale) will form during a season. These agencies include the National Usercane Center (NUC), Bob Nekaro Weather Center (BNWC), HT Meteorological Center (HTMC), Porygonal Weather Service (PWC), Cooper Meteorological Agency (CMA), and many others.

The first forecast for the year was issued by the CMA on January 1, 2019. The forecast called for an above-average season in terms of named userstorms, but a below-average season in terms of usercanes and major usercanes. Another forecast issued by the HWC was released that same day. They anticipated an above average named userstorm count with 30-34 named userstorms, but 3-6 usercanes and only 1-2 major usercanes expected. Later that day the DHC and the AHHC released their forecasts for the season, with the DHC predicting a hyperactive season with 64 named userstorms, 6 usercanes, and 4 major usercanes. The AHHC predicted an active season with 40 named userstorms, 5 usercanes, and 3 major usercanes. Then, the WHC predicted an above average season with 35-45 named userstorms, 4-6 usercanes and 1-2 major usercanes. Also on the same day, the MCHWS predicted an above average named userstorm count with 26-32 named userstorms, however slightly more usercanes than others with 5-8 usercanes and 1-3 major usercanes. On January 2nd, 2019, the FMC issued their forecast with an above average season with 27-36 named userstorms, 3-7 usercanes and 1-4 major usercanes. The SDTWFC released its forecast with 29-33 named userstorms, an above average number of usercanes with 5-6 but only 1-2 major usercanes. Soon after, The OSMC released their forecast predicting 35-42 named userstorms, 4-6 usercanes, and 1-3 major usercanes. The RMA then released their forecast, predicting a total of 24-28 named userstorms, 4-6 usercanes, and 1-2 major usercanes. On January 3rd, the DQW4W9WGXC Weather Station (XCQ) released its forecast calling for 15-25 named userstorms, 2-5 usercanes, and 1 major usercane. Following this was the forecast from the KOAM Weather Center (KWC) issuing a forecast for 29-37 named userstorms, 3-6 usercanes, and 1-2 major usercanes. That same day, the LCA issued their forecast of 30-40 named userstorms, 1-5 usercanes but only 0-1 major usercanes. On January 5th, 2019, the TGMC issued a forecast for an above average season with 35-40 named userstorms, 4-6 usercanes and 0-2 major usercanes. Almost a week later on January 11, 2019, the MWHA issued their forecast for the usercane season, predicting 29 - 34 named userstorms, 2-6 usercanes, and 1-3 major usercanes. On January 30, 2019, the SHMC issued their forecast predictions, with 38-43 named userstorms, 5-8 usercanes, and 1-3 major usercanes. On February 4, 2019, the CGFC issued their official forecast, calling for 25-30 userstorms, 3-6 usercanes, and 1-2 major usercanes. On May 9, 2019, the HHC issued their forecast predictions, with 36-40 named userstorms, 8-14 usercanes, and 3-5 major usercanes.

Season summary

Tropical Userstorm SandySevere Tropical Userstorm Lucas (HurricaneLucas4064)Tropical Userstorm Tuba

The Atlantic usercane season officially began on January 1, 2019. As with the previous season, activity began early with the formation of Tropical Userstorm Tuba. A series of three storms soon followed, for a total of four storms forming in the month of January. That number, however, is significantly lower than the one recorded in the previous season. After January, activity slowed significantly, with no tropical cyclones forming in February and March. Despite the inactivity, however, three tropical userstorms – Doublelucky, Tracking, and Danilo – formed in the month of April. The month of May saw the formation of three tropical userpressions.

Systems

Severe Tropical Userstorm Tuba (LckyTUBA)

Main article: Tropical Userstorm Tuba
Severe tropical userstorm (NUC)
Florence 2018-09-03 1515Z Tuba 2019 track
DurationJanuary 14 – Currently active
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min)  993 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave moved off Africa on January 13. The following day, when it was located near Cabo Verde, it intensified into Tropical Userpression One, being the first named storm of the season. Three days later, on January 17, it intensified into a tropical userstorm and received the name Tuba. Nearly a month later, on February 14, Tuba intensified into a severe tropical userstorm, the first of the season, soon entering an area of moderate wind shear preventing the storm from intensifying further.

On May 10, the LTWC released a new forecast for Userstorm Tuba. The forecast predicted Tuba to exit the area of wind shear by the end of May, although Tuba was not forecast to strengthen to usercane status within the 30 days following the forecast. The forecast did note that strengthening may be possible starting in the late summer/fall due to warmer waters.

Severe Tropical Userstorm Lucas (HurricaneLucas4064)

Main article: Severe Tropical Userstorm Lucas
Severe tropical userstorm (NUC)
Isaac 2000-09-23 1310Z Lucas track 2019
DurationJanuary 19 – Currently active
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min)  996 mbar (hPa)

On January 12, a trough developed in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean, encountering some very dry air and being unable to strengthen further. After leaving that body of unfavorable conditions, it began to intensify, and develop a closed circulation. On January 19, it was classified as Tropical Userpression Two. Two would stall in intensity and would only strengthen five days later. On January 26, it intensified into a tropical userstorm and was named Lucas. It slowly intensified over the following three months, and on April 12, it intensified into a severe tropical userstorm.

Tropical Userstorm Specimen (Aguywhocantgetpastspecimen1)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
Zeta 2005-12-31 1315Z Specimen track 2019
DurationJanuary 22 – March 14
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min)  1005 mbar (hPa)

A non-tropical low developed along a frontal boundary over the North Atlantic in early January. The low drifted southward and gradually began to acquire tropical characteristics. By January 22, the low had developed sufficiently organized convection near a warm thermal core, and became a tropical depression. The depression quickly strengthened into Tropical Storm Specimen the following day. No further intensification occurred, and by March 9 the cyclone had weakened to a tropical depression. On March 15, Specimen became a post-tropical cyclone after having lacked organized convection for five days. The post-tropical remnant was absorbed into a frontal boundary a few days later.

Severe Tropical Userstorm Sandy (Sandy156)

Main article: Tropical Userstorm Sandy
Severe tropical userstorm (NUC)
Fred 2009-09-08 1520Z Sandy track 2019
DurationJanuary 24 – Currently Active
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min)  994 mbar (hPa)

On January 16, a tropical wave originated just off the coast of Africa. Abruptly, being in warm waters and being in very favorable conditions, it rapidly organized starting on January 20 and on January 24, it strengthened into a tropical userpression, the fourth one of the season. A couple of days later, it intensified into a tropical userstorm and was named Sandy. During the months of February and March, it entered an area of low to moderate wind shear, causing the system to slowly intensify. The userstorm then entered an area of low to no wind shear and warmer waters in late May and early June, which contributed to the strengthening of the storm. It finally intensified into a severe tropical userstorm on June 11, the third one of the season.

Tropical Userstorm Doublelucky (Nclearsphinx)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
Harvey 2017-08-18 Suomi NPP Doublelucky track 2019
DurationApril 12 – Currently Active
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min)  1002 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userstorm Tracking (PHTracking)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
Ingrid 2007-09-14 1634Z Tracking track 2019
DurationApril 12 – Currently Active
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min)  1004 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userstorm Danilo (Danilo Evangelista)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
Julia 2010-09-13 1505Z Danilo track 2019
DurationApril 19 – July 6
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min)  1003 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userstorm Sangalang (Ssspp1)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
Igor 2010-09-08 1445Z Sangalang track 2019
DurationMay 10 – Currently Active
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min)  1005 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userpression Nine (MK8 Andrew)

Tropical userpression (NUC)
93L 2017-08-18 1405Z Nine userpression track 2019
DurationMay 11 – May 31
Peak intensity30 mph (45 km/h) (1-min)  1008 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userstorm Cylinder (Cylinder920)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
96L 2013-09-28 1650Z Cylinder track 2019
DurationMay 19 – Currently Active
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min)  1005 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userstorm General (General Wreck)

Tropical userstorm (NUC)
Chantal 2013-07-07 1615Z General track 2019
DurationJune 10 – Currently Active
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min)  1006 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userpression Twelve (MJO59)

Tropical userpression (NUC)
10L 2006-09-27 1640Z 
DurationJune 11 – July 1
Peak intensity35 mph (55 km/h) (1-min)  1007 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Userpression Thirteen (DjSolar27)

Tropical userpression (NUC)
Temporary cyclone north 
DurationJune 11 – July 12
Peak intensity30 mph (45 km/h) (1-min)  1008 mbar (hPa)

Season effects

This is a table of all the userstorms that have formed in the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their duration, names, landfall(s), denoted in parentheses, damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a tropical wave, or a low, and all the damage figures are in USD.

NUC usercane scale
TD TS STS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
2019 Atlantic usercane season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category

at peak intensity

Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths


Tuba January 14 – Present Severe tropical storm 65 (100) 993 Western Africa, Cape Verde None None
Lucas January 19 – Present Severe tropical storm 65 (100) 996 None None None
Specimen January 22 – March 14 Tropical storm 40 (65) 1005 None None None
Sandy January 24 – Present Severe tropical storm 60 (95) 995 Western Africa None None
Doublelucky April 12 – Present Tropical storm 50 (85) 1003 None None None
Tracking April 12 – Present Tropical storm 45 (75) 1004 None None None
Danilo April 19 – July 6 Tropical storm 45 (75) 1003 None None None
Sangalang May 10 – Present Tropical storm 40 (65) 1005 None None None
Nine May 11 – May 31 Tropical depression 30 (45) 1008 None None None
Cylinder May 19 – Present Tropical storm 40 (65) 1005 None None None
General June 10 – Present Tropical storm 40 (65) 1006 None None None
Twelve June 11 – July 1 Tropical depression 35 (55) 1007 None None None
Thirteen June 20 – Present Tropical depression 30 (45) 1008 None None None
Season Aggregates
9 systems January 14 – Season ongoing   65 (100) 993 None None
Atlantic usercane seasons
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