2021 Olaris hurricane season | |
---|---|
Seasonal boundaries | |
First system formed | Season has not started |
Last system dissipated | Season ongoing |
Strongest storm | |
Name | TBD |
Maximum winds | TBD |
Minimum pressure | TBD |
Seasonal statistics | |
Total depressions | 0 |
Total storms | 0 |
Total hurricanes | 0 |
Total majors | 0 |
Impact | |
Total fatalities | TBD |
Total damage | TBD |
The 2021 Olaris hurricane season is expected to be active due to a positive oceanic warm phase in the northern hemisphere. Hurricane season runs year-round, although most of the activity usually happens between the months of June and December.
Seasonal Forecasts
Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes | |
Average (2015-2021) | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
Record high activity | 16 | 10 | 5 | ||
Record low activity | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
HTMC | December 15, 2020 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | |
FRMC | December 19, 2020 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
BFHMC | December 22, 2020 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
Actual activity |
0 | 0 | 0 |
Timeline
Storms
Storm Names
|
|
|
2021 Olaris hurricane season | |
---|---|
Seasonal boundaries | |
First system formed | January 12 |
Last system dissipated | Season ongoing |
Strongest storm | |
Name | TBD |
Maximum winds | TBD |
Minimum pressure | TBD |
Seasonal statistics | |
Total depressions | 1 |
Total storms | 1 |
Total hurricanes | 1 |
Total majors | 0 |
Impact | |
Total fatalities | TBD |
Total damage | TBD |
The 2021 Olaris hurricane season is expected to be active due to a positive oceanic warm phase in the northern hemisphere. Hurricane season runs year-round, although most of the activity usually happens between the months of June and December.
Seasonal Forecasts
Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes | |
Average (2015-2021) | 15 | 9 | 4 | ||
Record high activity | 38 | 26 | 17 | ||
Record low activity | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
HTMC | December 15, 2020 | 23-28 | 13-18 | 7-12 | |
FRMC | December 19, 2020 | 19-24 | 10-15 | 5-8 | |
BFHMC | December 22, 2020 | 27 | 16 | 9 | |
Actual activity |
1 | 1 | 0 |
Timeline
Storms
Subtropical Storm Alexander
| |||
---|---|---|---|
Current storm status: Category 1 hurricane (1-min mean) | |||
As of: | 18:00z, January 13, 2021 | ||
Sustained Winds: | 70 kn (80 mph; 130 km/h) (1-min mean) gusting to 100 kn (115 mph; 185 km/h) | ||
Minimum Pressure: | 978 mbar (28.88 inHg) | ||
Movement: | E at 13 kn (15 mph; 24 km/h) | ||
|
In early to mid January, a symmetric cold-core low was observed over the far northern Battlnoque ocean basin. This low pressure system would occasionally flare up some brief convection while it was tracking southeastwards over 16°C sea surface temperatures. As the sea surface temperatures beneath the system started to reach 20°C the convection started to become more sustained and the overall structure became warmer in nature. The low would then attain hurricane-force winds at 18:00 UTC, January 11 as satellite estimates suggested. The next day around that time, HMC satellites suggested that the system transitioned into a subtropical storm as the deep convection persisted and the system became more warm-core.
Storm Names
|
|
|
2021 Olaris hurricane season | |
---|---|
Seasonal boundaries | |
First system formed | Season has not started |
Last system dissipated | Season ongoing |
Strongest storm | |
Name | TBD |
Maximum winds | TBD |
Minimum pressure | TBD |
Seasonal statistics | |
Total depressions | 0 |
Total storms | 0 |
Total hurricanes | 0 |
Total majors | 0 |
Impact | |
Total fatalities | TBD |
Total damage | TBD |
The 2021 Olaris hurricane season is expected to be active due to a positive oceanic warm phase in the northern hemisphere. Hurricane season runs year-round, although most of the activity usually happens between the months of June and December.
Seasonal Forecasts
Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes | ||||||
Average (2015-2021) | 18 | 11 | 7 | |||||||
Record high activity | 45 | 32 | 17 | |||||||
Record low activity | 8 | 5 | 2 | |||||||
HTMC | December 15, 2020 | 39-46 | 29-35 | 16-22 | ||||||
FRMC | December 19, 2020 | 38-49 | 32-40 | 19-28 | ||||||
BFHMC | December 22, 2020 | 42 | 30 | 20 | ||||||
Actual activity |
0 | 0 | 0 |
Timeline
Storms
Storm Names
|
|
|