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Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki
Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most active Atlantic hurricane seasons on record, reaching 20 named storms, tying 2021 and 1933 for the second-most active season on record. The season began on June 1, 2025, and ended on November 30, 2025; however, storms can form outside of these boundaries, as Tropical Storm Van did in late December. The season featured the earliest major hurricane since Hurricane Claudette in June 2021.

Seasonal forecasts[]

Pre-season outlooks[]

Predictions for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
TSR December 11, 2024 12 5 2
CSU April 4, 2025 13 5 3
TSR April 16, 2025 12 6 3
NCSU May 6, 2025 13-16 5-7 2-3
TWC May 21, 2025 15 8 4
UKMO May 23, 2025 13* 7* 3*
NOAA May 30, 2025 14-16 6-8 2-4
TSR June 4, 2025 14 6 3
CSU June 11, 2025 14 7 4
UA July 4, 2025 16 8 4
CSU August 5, 2025 15 7 4
NOAA August 8, 2025 16-18 8-10 3-5
Actual activity
20 12 6

Ahead of and during the season, several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson scale) will form during a season and/or how many tropical cyclones will affect a particular country. These agencies include the Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) Consortium of University College London, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year. Some of these forecasts also take into consideration what happened in previous seasons and the state of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). On average, an Atlantic hurricane season between 1981 and 2010 contained twelve tropical storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes, with an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of between 66 and 103 units.

The first forecast for the year was released by TSR on December 11, 2024, which predicted a near average season in 2025, with a total of 12 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes, due to the anticipated presence of El Niño conditions during the season. On April 4, 2025, CSU released its forecast, predicting a near-average season of 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. On April 16, TSR released an updated forecast that revised its earlier predictions, expecting 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. North Carolina State University released their forecast on May 6, predicting slightly-above average activity with 13–16 named storms, 5–7 hurricanes and 2–3 major hurricanes. On May 21, the Weather Company predicted an above average season, with 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes. The UK Met Office released their forecast May 23, predicting 13 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 major hurricanes and an accumulated cyclone energy of 109 units. On May 23, NOAA released their first prediction, calling for a near-normal season with 9–15 named systems, 4–8 hurricanes, and 2–4 major hurricanes. On May 30, NOAA released a forecast, which called for an above average season with 14–16 named storms, 6–8 hurricanes, and 2–4 major hurricanes.

Mid-season outlooks[]

On June 11, CSU updated their forecast to include a total of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. On June 4, the TSR released their first mid-season outlook, adding two more named storms. On July 4, University of Arizona (UA) predicted above-average activities: 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes, and accumulated cyclone energy index of 175 units. On August 5, the CSU released their third mid-season outlook, still retaining the same numbers from their previous forecast except the slight increase of the number of named storms. On August 6, the TSR released their second and final mid-season outlook, with the only changes of increasing the number of named storms from 12 to 13. On August 8, NOAA released their second prediction with increasing the chances for 16–18 named storms, 8–10 hurricanes, and 3–5 major hurricanes, suggesting very above-average activity.

Season summary[]

Saffir–Simpson scale

Systems[]

Tropical Storm Andrea[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Andrea 2025 TG Andrea 2025 TG track
DurationJune 14 – June 16
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min) 1002 mbar (hPa)

The interaction of an upper-level trough and a stalled front over the Florida Straits led to the formation of a low-pressure area in that region on June 12, moving northeast into the subtropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) first noted this system on their tropical weather outlook (TWO) graphic on June 12, giving it a 30% chance of development within the next 48 hours; however, this was abruptly changed to 70% the next morning, as the cyclone began to develop subtropical characteristics, leaving some of its extratropical traits behind. Invest 91L was designated at this time (Invest 90L was an area of interest in the Gulf of Mexico earlier in the month). On the morning of June 14, the National Hurricane Center upped the chances on Invest 91L to 90%, and subsequently designated the invest as Subtropical Depression One at 03:00 UTC that morning. Continuing northeast, the system transitioned into a tropical cyclone, and gained gale-force winds shortly after, at 06:00 UTC. At 12:00 UTC on June 14, Tropical Storm Andrea was designated, becoming the first storm of the 2025 season. Strengthening had halted for the rest of the day on June 14. On the morning of June 15, Andrea gained winds of 40 kt (45 mph), with a pressure of 1003 millibars, and six hours later, at 06:00 UTC, Andrea reached its peak intensity, with winds remaining the same, but the barometric pressure dropping to 1002 millibars. Andrea prompted tropical storm warnings for Nova Scotia that morning. Andrea ended up making its first landfall southwest of Liverpool at 19:00 UTC on June 15, and a second landfall south of Liverpool at 19:45 UTC, with winds of 40 mph. Land interaction caused Andrea to eventually weaken in to a tropical depression at 00:00 UTC on June 16, which led to Andrea transitioning into a remnant low at 03:00 UTC that day.

Tropical Storm Barry[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Barry 2025 TG Barry 2025 TG track
DurationJune 26 – June 29
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min) 998 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Chantal[]

Category 3 hurricane (SSHWS)
Chantal 2025 TG Chantal 2025 TG track
DurationJuly 4 – July 10
Peak intensity115 mph (185 km/h) (1-min) 958 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Darren[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Darren 2025 TG Darren 2025 TG track
DurationJuly 7 – July 11
Peak intensity75 mph (120 km/h) (1-min) 986 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Erin[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Erin 2025 TG Erin 2025 TG track
DurationJuly 23 – July 28
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min) 990 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Fernand[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Fernand 2025 TG new Fernand 2025 TG track
DurationJuly 29 – August 2
Peak intensity100 mph (155 km/h) (1-min) 971 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Gabrielle[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Florence Aug 4 2012 1225Z Gabrielle 2025 TG track
DurationAugust 3 – August 6
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min) 999 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Humberto[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Humberto 2025 TG Humberto 2025 TG track
DurationAugust 12 – August 19
Peak intensity90 mph (150 km/h) (1-min) 975 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Imelda[]

Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
Imelda 2025 TG Imelda 2025 TG track
DurationAugust 18 – August 26
Peak intensity155 mph (250 km/h) (1-min) 919 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Jerry[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Edouard 2014-09-16 Suomi NPP Jerry 2025 TG track
DurationAugust 25 – September 2
Peak intensity110 mph (175 km/h) (1-min) 964 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Karen[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Karen 2025 TG Karen 2025 TG track
DurationSeptember 6 – September 15
Peak intensity110 mph (175 km/h) (1-min) 963 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Lucas[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Lucas 2025 TG Lucas 2025 TG track
DurationSeptember 11 – September 12
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min) 1000 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Melissa[]

Category 5 hurricane (SSHWS)
Melissa 2025 TG Melissa 2025 TG track
DurationSeptember 17 – September 24
Peak intensity175 mph (280 km/h) (1-min) 897 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Nestor[]

Category 3 hurricane (SSHWS)
Nestor 2025 TG Nestor 2025 TG track
DurationSeptember 20 – September 28
Peak intensity120 mph (195 km/h) (1-min) 955 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Olga[]

Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
Olga 2025 TG Olga 2025 TG track
DurationSeptember 24 – October 21
Peak intensity140 mph (220 km/h) (1-min) 939 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Pablo[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Nadine 2018-10-10 1520Z Pablo 2025 TG track
DurationSeptember 30 – October 2
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min) 1003 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Rebekah[]

Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
Rebekah 2025 TG Rebekah 2025 TG track
DurationOctober 11 – October 17
Peak intensity130 mph (215 km/h) (1-min) 946 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Depression Eighteen[]

Tropical depression (SSHWS)
Tropical Storm Don Jul 29 2011 1915Z TD Eighteen 2025 TG track
DurationOctober 12 – October 13
Peak intensity35 mph (55 km/h) (1-min) 1006 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Sebastien[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Sebastien 2025 TG Sebastien 2025 TG track
DurationOctober 25 – October 30
Peak intensity110 mph (175 km/h) (1-min) 949 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Tanya[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Debby 2018-08-08 1430Z Tanya 2025 TG track
DurationNovember 5 – November 8
Peak intensity60 mph (95 km/h) (1-min) 999 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Van[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Van 2025 TG Van 2025 TG track
DurationDecember 23 – December 26
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min) 991 mbar (hPa)

Storm names[]

The following list of names was used for named storms that formed in the North Atlantic in 2025. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2031 season. This was the same list used in the 2019 season, with the exception of the names Darren and Lucas, which replaced Dorian and Lorenzo.

  • Andrea
  • Barry
  • Chantal
  • Darren
  • Erin
  • Fernand
  • Gabrielle
  • Humberto
  • Imelda
  • Jerry
  • Karen
  • Lucas
  • Melissa
  • Nestor
  • Olga
  • Pablo
  • Rebekah
  • Sebastien
  • Tanya
  • Van
  • Wendy (unused)

Retirement[]

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) retired the names Humberto, Imelda, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, and Sebastien from its rotating naming lists due to the number of deaths and amount of damage they caused, and they will not be used again for another Atlantic hurricane. They will be replaced with Heath, Ivy, Mandy, Noah, Odessa, and Steve, respectively, for the 2031 season. This was the highest names ever retired in one season on record in the North Atlantic basin.

Season effects[]

Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
2025 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths
Andrea June 14 – June 16 Tropical storm 45 1002 Bermuda, Newfoundland 25 0 (1)
Barry June 26 – June 29 Tropical storm 65 998 None None 0
Chantal July 4 – July 10 Category 3 hurricane 115 958 Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Southeastern United States, East Coast of the United States, Atlantic Canada, Iceland 900 7 (3)
Darren July 7 – July 11 Category 1 hurricane 75 986 Azores Minimal 0
Erin July 23 – July 28 Tropical storm 65 990 Yucatan Peninsula, Gulf Coast of the United States, East Coast of the United States, Bermuda, Atlantic Canada 450 4 (2)
Fernand July 29 – August 2 Category 2 hurricane 100 971 Belize, Guatemala, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico 1,300 24 (5)
Gabrielle August 3 – August 6 Tropical storm 50 999 Cape Verde None 0
Humberto August 12 – August 19 Category 1 hurricane 90 975 The Bahamas, East Coast of the United States 26,000 74 (23)
Imelda August 18 – August 26 Category 4 hurricane 155 919 Lesser Antilles, Venezuela, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, Jamaica, Belize, Guatemala, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico 5,600 434 (48)
Jerry August 25 – September 2 Category 2 hurricane 110 964 Cape Verde, Azores, Western Europe 100 0 (3)
Karen September 6 – September 15 Category 2 hurricane 110 963 East Coast of the United States, Bermuda, New England, Atlantic Canada 775 3 (1)
Lucas September 11 – September 12 Tropical storm 45 1000 Jamaica, Cuba, The Bahamas, Florida 50 0
Melissa September 17 – September 24 Category 5 hurricane 175 897 Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, Florida, Gulf Coast of the United States 104,000 513 (69)
Nestor September 20 – September 28 Category 3 hurricane 120 955 The Bahamas, Florida, East Coast of the United States, Bermuda, Azores 7,500 39 (8)
Olga September 24 – October 21 Category 4 hurricane 140 939 Bermuda, Azores, Western Europe 3,200 94 (12)
Pablo September 30 – October 2 Tropical storm 40 1003 None None 0
Rebekah October 11 – October 17 Category 4 hurricane 130 946 The Bahamas, East Coast of the United States, Bermuda, Atlantic Canada 500 0 (2)
Eighteen October 12 – October 13 Tropical depression 35 1006 Mexico, Texas Minimal 0
Sebastien October 25 – October 30 Category 2 hurricane 110 949 Mexico, Gulf Coast of the United States, Florida, East Coast of the United States 38,500 63 (10)
Tanya November 5 – November 8 Tropical storm 60 999 Bermuda, Atlantic Canada 50 1 (1)
Van December 23 – December 26 Tropical storm 50 991 Gulf Coast of the United States 250 3 (1)
Season aggregates
21 systems June 14 – December 26   175 897 $187.9 billion 1235 (184)